Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Borussia Dortmund		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.75	9.5	Watch
	1.28	5.75	11	Watch
	1.26	6	11
	1.29	5.8	9
	1.28	6.16	11.04
	1.29	5.5	10
	1.3	6.1	11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.26)	5.87 ↓ (5.96)	10.36 ↓ (10.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
74.5%

Draw
16.3%

Arminia Bielefeld
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.1%

15.9%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	4.5%	17%

Borussia Dortmund - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (69 of 88 users predict this - 78.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.81% – 87.01%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 15).

Borussia D has the most likely position - 2 (78.39%), has project points - 68, has currently - 50, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (28.39%), has project points - 33, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 67, small importance 28, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Borussia D is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arminia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Borussia D is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
27.02.22	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.02.22	Glasgow Rangers - Borussia Dortmund	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.02.22	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	6:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.02.22	Borussia Dortmund - Glasgow Rangers	2:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
13.02.22	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTWLW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga
04.03.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Augsburg	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Arminia Bielefeld	3:0 ✺
19.02.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Hoffenheim - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
23.10.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund	1:3
27.02.21	Borussia Dortmund - Arminia Bielefeld	3:0
31.10.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund	0:2

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