Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	Tring Sport 6
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Köln		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	2	3.8	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.7	3.35	Watch
	2.09	3.87	3.48
	5.61	3.30	1.72	Watch
	2.05	3.9	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (1.99)	3.71 ↓ (3.77)	3.09 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
37.9%

Draw
28.2%

Augsburg
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

25.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köln's form might have worsened.

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Augsburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Augsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.8%	16.1%	29%

Köln - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 31%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 20%). Augsburg (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 2. Schmied J. 4. Hubers T. 3. Heintz D. 28. Sebulonsen S. 18. Johannesson I. 6. Martel E. 32. Lund K. 7. Waldschmidt L. 16. Kaminski J. 29. Thielmann J.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 17. Jakic K. (C) 5. Matsima C. 40. Banks N. 30. Kade A. 4. Massengo H. 19. Fellhauer R. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 26. Saad E. 36. Komur M.
Substitutes
9. Ache R. 30. Bulter M. 13. El Mala S. 8. Huseinbasic D. 11. Kainz F. 5. Krauss T. 37. Maina L. 39. Ozkacar C. 20. Zieler R. (G)	20. Claude-Maurice A. 9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 10. Maier A. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 21. Tietz P. 27. Wolf M. 16. Zesiger C.
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Wagner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Kade A. 🟨,
20', Jakic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Saad E. ↓, Claude-Maurice A. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Rieder F. (Pen),
59', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
59', Heintz D. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
61', Johannesson I. 🟨,
63', Wagner S. 🟨,
64', Thielmann J. 🟨,
74', Sebulonsen S. ↓, Huseinbasic D. ↑,
74', Lund K. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
74', Thielmann J. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, El Mala S. ⚽, Bulter M. (A),
77', Komur M. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
85', Rieder F. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
85', Banks N. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
90+6', Kade A. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 3.

Köln has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Augsburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Augsburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Köln might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Köln: Kilian L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: van den Berg R. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Rexhbecaj E. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Köln won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
03.10.25	Hoffenheim - Köln	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Köln - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	RB Leipzig - Köln	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Wolfsburg - Köln	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Köln - Freiburg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLLTW
- FC Augsburg
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Augsburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.10.25	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Heidenheim - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Augsburg - Mainz	1:4 ✺
14.09.25	St. Pauli - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
31.03.24	Augsburg - Köln	1:1
04.11.23	Köln - Augsburg	1:1
08.04.23	Augsburg - Köln	1:3
16.10.22	Köln - Augsburg	3:2
30.04.22	Augsburg - Köln	1:4
10.12.21	Köln - Augsburg	0:2
23.04.21	Augsburg - Köln	2:3

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