Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	ARD, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sportschau, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Montenegro	SportKlub 1, SportKlub
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Köln		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	7	Watch
	1.38	5.25	7
	1.38	5	7	Watch
	1.39	5.59	7.27
	1.4	5.38	6.68	Watch
	1.35	5	7
	1.41	5.11	6.91	Watch
	1.38	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 (1.38)	5.17 ↓ (5.52)	6.98 ↓ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
68.3%

Draw
18.2%

Greuther Fürth
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

17.3%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

16.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Köln - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Fürth will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (G) 24. Pauli J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 3. Heintz D. 29. Thielmann J. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 17. Paqarada L. 7. Ljubicic D. 19. Lemperle T. 37. Maina L.	44. Noll N. (G) 18. Meyerhofer M. 4. Michalski D. 33. Dietz M. 17. Giesselmann N. 2. Asta S. 6. Banse S. 37. Green J. 11. Massimo R. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 9. Futkeu N.
Substitutes
38. Bakatukanda E. 18. Carstensen R. 42. Downs D. 35. Finkgrafe M. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 40. Urbig J. (G) 9. Waldschmidt L.	23. Jung G. 40. Kasper D. 1. Korber N. (G) 3. Mhamdi O. 22. Motika N. 36. Muller P. 5. Munz R. 7. Srbeny D. 19. Wagner M.
Coaches
Struber G.	Haas L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Futkeu N. 🟨,
44', Heintz D. 🟨,
45', Michalski D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Thielmann J. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
64', Dietz M. 🟨,
64', Futkeu N. ↓, Motika N. ↑,
68', Paqarada L. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,
75', Asta S. ↓, Jung G. ↑,
82', Massimo R. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
82', Giesselmann N. ↓, Munz R. ↑,
84', Pauli J. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
84', Lemperle T. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
90+1', Downs D. 🟨,
90+1', Jung G. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Downs D. ⚽, Kainz F. (A),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln won 3.

Recent matches Köln is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fürth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fürth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Köln is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Adamyan S. (Ankle Injury) Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fürth: Calhanoglu K. (Knee Injury) Consbruch J. (Knee Injury) Dietz M. (Hamstring Injury) Massimo R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Finkgrafe M. (Illness) Uth M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Köln won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:3 (average 2.2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
02.11.24	Hertha Berlin - Köln	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Köln - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Köln - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Darmstadt - Köln	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Köln - Bochum	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLW
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
02.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Darmstadt	1:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	3:4 ✺
20.10.24	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
26.02.22	Greuther Fürth - Köln	1:1
01.10.21	Köln - Greuther Fürth	3:1
German 2 Bundesliga
06.05.19	Greuther Fürth - Köln	0:4
01.12.18	Köln - Greuther Fürth	4:0
24.02.14	Köln - Greuther Fürth	1:1
24.08.13	Greuther Fürth - Köln	0:0

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