Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Südstadion (Cologne)


	Köln		Verl

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.4	5
	1.62	4.2	4.5
	1.61	4.16	4.44	Watch
	1.57	4.2	4.6
	1.64	4.33	4.81	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.43)	4.25 ↓ (4.5)	4.64 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
58.3%

Draw
21.8%

Verl
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

20.1%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

19.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Köln - Verl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Racioppi A. (G) 2. Schmied J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 49. Telle N. 35. Finkgrafe M. 7. Ljubicic D. 8. Huseinbasic D. 19. Lemperle T. 16. Obuz M. 11. Kainz F. 9. Waldschmidt L.	32. Pekruhl F. (G) 8. Kammerbauer P. 3. Kohler T. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. 28. Otto Y. 5. Baack T. 30. Gayret T. 13. Lokotsch L. (C) 10. Taz B. 11. Steczyk D.
Substitutes
46. Kujovic E. . Ozkan M. 20. Pentke P. (G) 27. Rondic I. 39. Schmitt O. 13. Uth M. . von der Hitz J.	9. Arweiler J. 6. Demming L. 31. Gerhardt K. 21. Knost T. 20. Mhamdi O. 4. Mikic D. 27. Onuoha C. 17. Probst E. 1. Schulze P. (G) 2. Schulz P. 7. Stark J. 24. Stocker M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Lokotsch L. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Baack T. ⚽,
18', 1 - 2, Lemperle T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kainz F. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
61', Schulz P. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Köln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Köln - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Köln	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Karlsruher - Köln	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Magdeburg - Köln	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLTL
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
15.03.25	Verl - Ingolstadt	1:4 ✺
11.03.25	Unterhaching - Verl	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Verl - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Dynamo Dresden - Verl	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Verl - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLT

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