Match Info

FNL - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Spartak Kostroma		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.25	3.7
	2.13	3.28	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.68 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
44.8%

Draw
29.3%

Arsenal Tula
26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

30%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Spartak Kostroma have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Arsenal Tula have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Spartak Kostroma - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Gaydash M. (G) 35. Enin I. (C) 88. Gogic F. 18. Ignatiev M. 90. Kalmykov A. 9. Khubaev D. 11. Nazarenko E. 10. Pantelic D. 4. Supranovich N. 17. Uridia G. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.	18. Tsulaya M. (G) 24. Azyavin I. 31. Bolshakov K. (C) 14. Brnovic M. 10. Gorbunov I. 45. Karmaev N. 4. Penchikov D. 77. Plotnikov D. 5. Putsko A. 21. Razdorskikh N. 22. Tsaraev A.
Substitutes
7. Bokov D. 3. Bugriev S. 23. Chikanchi M. 38. Chupayov A. 69. Chursin K. 78. Kiselev G. 19. Lyakh V. 66. Makarenko Y. 13. Rubtsov I. 8. Sadov D. 25. Sappa D. (G) 57. Tlekhugov M.	17. Ahlinvi M. 19. Bogdanets K. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 99. Guliev A. 44. Isaenko O. 9. Maksimov M. 42. Melikhov A. (G) 95. Obryvkov S. 8. Popov A. 1. Sangare D. (G) 50. Sokolov I.
Coaches
Taranukhin E.	Gunko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Azyavin I. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
58', Gaydash M. ↓, Sappa D. ↑,
62', Khubaev D. 🟨,
66', Uridia G. ↓, Rubtsov I. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Bolshakov K. ⚽,
69', Karmaev N. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
76', Nazarenko E. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
76', Khubaev D. ↓, Chikanchi M. ↑,
76', Enin I. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Kalmykov A. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Tsaraev A. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
89', Plotnikov D. ↓, Bogdanets K. ↑,
90+2', Brnovic M. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Spartak Kostroma could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Spartak Kostroma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 6.02% Arsenal Tula: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16:10	6	24
12	Arsenal Tula	12	3	4	5	12:22	-10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
22.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Spartak Kostroma	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
22.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Fakel	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Arsenal Tula - Sokol Saratov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
13.09.25	Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma	1:2

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