Match Info

FNL - Round 30

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Referee: Khromey Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Spartak Kostroma		SKA Khabarovsk

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.83	6.62
	1.64	3.71	5.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.87)	3.77 ↑ (3.43)	6.3 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
59.4%

Draw
25.4%

SKA Khabarovsk
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

27.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Kostroma's performance.

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA Khabarovsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Kostroma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA Khabarovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spartak Kostroma - SKA Khabarovsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spartak Kostroma will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Gaydash M. (G) 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 2. Tarasov N. 4. Supranovich N. 88. Gogic F. 9. Khubaev D. 35. Enin I. 11. Nazarenko E. 18. Ignatiev M. 17. Uridia G. 90. Kalmykov A.	1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 84. Grebenkin Y. 4. Kozhemyakin O. 3. Pliev K. 82. Ilyev D. 55. Aleynikov V. 8. Emeljanov R. 17. Anisimov A. 91. Noskov E. 14. Bragin V. 19. Alcalde J.
Substitutes
7. Bokov D. 3. Bugriev S. 23. Chikanchi M. 38. Chupayov A. 69. Chursin K. 78. Kiselev G. 19. Lyakh V. 77. Meshcheryakov I. 10. Pantelic D. 13. Rubtsov I. 8. Sadov D. 25. Sappa D. (G)	7. Aliev K. 11. Gagloev A. 50. Glotov S. 21. Gurban G. 78. Imamov I. (G) 29. Mukhin A. 40. Prishchepov R. 20. Tur J. A. 95. Ulezko M. 54. Vshivkov V. 13. Yanov D.
Coaches
Ashikhmin A.	Poddubskiy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Nazarenko E. ⚽,
30', Grebenkin Y. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bragin V. ↓, Yanov D. ↑,
46', Grebenkin Y. ↓, Glotov S. ↑,
46', Emeljanov R. ↓, Aliev K. ↑,
57', Kozhemyakin O. 🟨,
66', Tarasov N. 🟨,
66', Tarasov N. 🟨,
66', Ilyev D. ↓, Gurban G. ↑,
69', Uridia G. ↓, Pantelic D. ↑,
71', Zhilmostnykh D. 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Nazarenko E. ⚽,
79', Kalmykov A. ↓, Rubtsov I. ↑,
79', Khubaev D. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
83', Alcalde J. ↓, Ulezko M. ↑,
87', Gogic F. ↓, Sadov D. ↑,
87', Nazarenko E. ↓, Meshcheryakov I. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).

In recent matches, Spartak Kostroma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SKA Khabarovsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Spartak Kostroma is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Spartak Kostroma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	S. Kostroma	13	7	3	3	18:13	5	24
18	SKA Khabarovsk	13	1	4	8	14:26	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
18.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Spartak Kostroma	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Spartak Kostroma - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLT
- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
18.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Rotor	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Torpedo Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Arsenal Tula	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2

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