Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 11

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza
World	Onefootball app


	KV Mechelen		Kortrijk

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.73	4	4.4
	1.72	3.9	4.4	Watch
	1.74	4.1	4.57
	1.71	4.06	4.54	Watch
	1.67	4	4.5
	1.72	4.08	4.53	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)	3.99 ↓ (4.02)	4.44 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
55.2%

Draw
23.6%

Kortrijk
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.4%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	5.6%	0%

KV Mechelen - Kortrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (33 of 35 users predict this - 94.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Wolf O. (G) 4. Raemaekers T. 6. Touba A. 3. Marsa J. 77. Pflucke P. 32. Ouattara A. 16. Schoofs R. (C) 23. Foulon D. 19. Mrabti K. 11. Storm N. 20. Lauberbach L.	31. Gunnarsson P. (G) 20. Dewaele G. 24. Fujii H. 44. Silva J. (C) 26. Lagae B. 30. Kaneko T. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 27. Sissako A. 16. Dejaegere B. 68. Ambrose T. 19. Nacho
Substitutes
35. Bafdili B. 17. Belghali R. 10. Dahl P. 26. Makanza N. 14. Raman B. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 2. Van Cleemput J. 5. Walsh S. 36. Yeboah E.	17. Bruno M. 11. De Neve D. 14. Fossum I. 35. Huygevelde N. 10. Kadri A. 15. Malinov K. 95. Pirard L. (G) 21. Simic R. 23. Takamine T.
Coaches
Hasi B.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Mrabti K. 🟨,
23', Gunnarsson P. ↓, Pirard L. ↑,
32', Mrabti K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
32', Bafdili B. 🟨,
37', Sissako A. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Lauberbach L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Bafdili B. ⚽, Foulon D. (A),
55', 3 - 0, Foulon D. ⚽,
57', Foulon D. 🟨,
62', Nacho ↓, Kadri A. ↑,
62', Sissako A. ↓, Takamine T. ↑,
66', Lauberbach L. 🟨,
67', Pflucke P. ↓, Belghali R. ↑,
79', Kaneko T. ↓, Fossum I. ↑,
79', Dejaegere B. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
81', Storm N. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
81', Lauberbach L. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
88', Ouattara A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 5.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Mechelen is a favorite.

There will not play in Mechelen: Antonio B. (Knee Injury) Falchou R. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Mechelen: Konate M. (Knee Injury) Ngoy J. (Ankle Injury) Van Cleemput J. (Calf Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)

There are questionable in Kortrijk: De Neve D. (Ankle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36:21 (average 1.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mechelen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:9 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.10.24	KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:0 ✺
28.09.24	Genk - KV Mechelen	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Gent - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	KV Mechelen - Charleroi	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLW
- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.10.24	Kortrijk - Genk	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Saint-Gilloise - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Kortrijk - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.02.24	KV Mechelen - Kortrijk	3:0
26.11.23	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	0:3
21.01.23	KV Mechelen - Kortrijk	3:2
Belgian Cup
11.01.23	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	0:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.09.22	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	1:4
Club Friendly
25.06.22	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	3:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.04.22	KV Mechelen - Kortrijk	3:2

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