Match Info

J3 League - Round 34

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kagoshima United		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.65	4.75	Watch
	1.69	3.78	4.50	Watch
	1.62	3.55	4.94	Watch
	1.63	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)	3.65 ↓ (3.78)	4.74 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
55.7%

Draw
25%

Matsumoto Yamaga
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

24%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+1%)

Kagoshima United - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yamauchi K. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 7. Chibu K. 29. Okazaki M. 3. Sugii H. 73. Tanaka T. 6. Watanabe E. 14. Yoshio K. 36. Yonezawa R. 18. Kawamura K. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti	1. Ouchi I. (G) 19. Sugita H. 44. Nonomura T. 16. Miyabe T. 7. Mawatari K. 15. Yamamoto K. 46. Yasunaga R. 17. Yamamoto R. 41. Murakoshi K. 23. Taki Y. 43. Hayashi M.
Substitutes
20. Endo M. 8. Fujimura K. 1. Fujishima E. (G) 19. Inaba S. 13. Kondo Y. 92. Nduka C. 21. Soma J. 10. Take S. 27. Yamaguchi T.	14. Ando T. 40. Higuchi D. 35. Kanda S. (G) 25. Kawakami K. 30. Kokubu R. 36. Matsumura G. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 42. Tanaka S.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Kagoshima United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Matsumoto Yamaga is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kagoshima United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kagoshima United is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kagoshima United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League
25.10.25	Gifu - Kagoshima United	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Kagoshima United - Gainare Tottori	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kagoshima United	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Kagoshima United - Tochigi City	0:3 ✺
26.09.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTLL
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
26.10.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Sagamihara - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
15.10.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Fukushima United - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United	1:1
19.08.23	Kagoshima United - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2
27.05.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United	2:4
14.08.22	Kagoshima United - Matsumoto Yamaga	4:2
26.03.22	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kagoshima United	1:2

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