Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 28

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kagoshima United		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	6.25	4	1.5	Watch
	5.25	3.9	1.49
	5.5	4	1.53	Watch
	6.42	4.3	1.55
	5.69	3.99	1.56	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.52	3.8	1.58	Watch
	5.5	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.7 ↑ (4.28)	4.02 ↑ (3.83)	1.52 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
16.2%

Draw
23%

Shimizu S-Pulse
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

24.5%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

23.3%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kagoshima United's form might have worsened.

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shimizu S-Pulse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Kagoshima United - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: Shimizu S-Pulse will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 6. Watanabe E. 4. Hirose K. 23. Okamoto S. 3. Toyama R. 35. Nakahara S. 27. Yamaguchi T. 16. Kawano R. 34. Suzuki S. 21. Tanaka W. 38. Arita R.	57. Gonda S. (G) 28. Yoshida Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 4. Hasukawa S. 14. Yamahara R. 36. Uno Z. 71. Nakamura R. 11. Lucas Braga 33. Inui T. 10. Carlinhos 23. Kitagawa K. (C)
Substitutes
9. Arita K. 10. Fujimoto N. 8. Fujimura K. 5. Ibayashi A. 13. Matsuyama K. (G) 24. Nagai S. 32. Numata T.	9. Aziz 5. Kitazume K. 13. Miyamoto K. 44. Nishihara M. 1. Oki Y. (G) 32. Takagi S. 21. Yajima S.
Coaches
Asano T.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Nakahara S. 🟨,
60', Tanaka W. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
60', Nakahara S. ↓, Inaba S. ↑,
62', Yoshida Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
62', Inui T. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
69', Kawano R. ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
76', Carlinhos ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
77', Kitagawa K. ↓, Aziz ↑,
77', Suzuki S. ↓, Arita K. ↑,
77', Numata T. ↓, Ibayashi A. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Aziz (Pen),
89', Lucas Braga ↓, Takagi S. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Kagoshima United has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shimizu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Kagoshima United - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
13.07.24	Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:0 ✺
03.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Reims	3:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
14.07.24	Oita Trinita - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
11.05.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kagoshima United	4:0

Upcoming Matches