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Current Win Probability
Ertis Pavlodar 19%
Draw 23.5%
Kairat 57.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.6%
19.1%
69.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.1%
18.2%
72.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ertis Pavlodar's performance.
Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kairat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ertis Pavlodar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kairat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Ertis Pavlodar - Kairat Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ertis will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kairat will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Botnar V. (G) 27. Nechaev D. 5. Toleuov B. 33. Ibrahim F. 22. Stephen G. 9. Omatay M. 8. Zharynbetov S. 7. Klimovich V. 98. Sedko P. 18. Shvyrev V. 97. Poe J.
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 14. Martynovich A. 44. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 13. Oksanen J. 8. Baybek O. 10. Satpaev D. 7. Jorginho 19. Jukkola O. 9. Edmilson
Substitutes
10. Agimanov T. 13. Baybosynov N. 21. Buranchiev A. 15. Nyrkov D. 19. Popov A. 31. Rakhmetulla E. (G) 14. Raskatov V. 1. Rikhard M. (G) 6. Shimamura Y. 17. Turlybek M. 20. Usenov A.
27. Abish M. 23. Bagdat R. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 5. Kurgin L. 99. Ricardinho 6. Sadybekov A. 25. Shirobokov A. 20. Tapalov E. 17. Tuyakbaev A. 11. Zeballos S.
Coaches
Alshevskiy K.
Urazbakhtin R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Martynovich A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Jukkola O. ⚽, Edmilson (A),
38', Jukkola O. 🟨,
44', Jorginho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Shvyrev V. ↓, Turlybek M. ↑,
59', Poe J. ↓, Agimanov T. ↑,
60', Omatay M. ↓, Shimamura Y. ↑,
63', Edmilson ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
64', Baybek O. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
69', Klimovich V. ↓, Baybosynov N. ↑,
79', Zharynbetov S. 🟨,
80', Jukkola O. ↓, Tapalov E. ↑,
82', Shimamura Y. 🟨,
89', Mrynskiy A. ↓, Shirobokov A. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 2.
Ertis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kairat has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Kairat is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 23:38. (average 1.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.7:1.8).
Watch
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Botnar V. (G) 
Nechaev D. 
Toleuov B. 
Ibrahim F. 
Stephen G. 
Poe J. 
Lucas Africo 
Mata L. 
Oksanen J. 
Shimamura Y. 
Zeballos S. 
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