The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kaisar 36.5%
Draw 28.5%
Okzhetpes 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
28.3%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
27.5%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaisar's performance.
Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Okzhetpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaisar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Okzhetpes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kaisar - Okzhetpes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salaydin N. (C) 5. Kenesbek A. 93. Askarov S. 43. Klaidher 15. Idrisov N. 42. Miqueias 24. Cuckic N. 13. Zhaksylyk N. 11. Moses V. 14. Gustavo Zago 96. Mukhammed A.
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. (C) 8. Buribaev N. 9. Borodin D. 25. Marcinho 47. Vasiljev V. 91. Abdumannonov B. 19. Omirtaev O.
Substitutes
10. Agostinho 9. Agzambaev N. 16. Azhikhan A. (G) 29. Bagdat R. 70. Ezekiel I. 6. Kaldybekov E. 47. Konlimkos B. 2. Redzhepov T. 7. Tazhibay B. 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S. 23. Zhumat M.
67. Atykhanov R. 12. Dovgal A. (G) 20. Ensebaev M. 14. Mukanov S. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 17. Umarov S. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T.
Coaches
Ferapontov A.
Alyuetov R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
14', Omirtaev O. 🟨,
15', Gustavo Zago 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Omirtaev O. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Buribaev N. ⚽,
28', Moses V. ↓, Agostinho ↑,
31', Askarov S. 🟨,
35', Marcinho 🟨,
37', Vasiljev V. 🟨,
37', Zhaksylyk N. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Zhaksylyk N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mukhammed A. ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
57', Sovpel V. 🟨,
59', Omirtaev O. ↓, Umarov S. ↑,
59', Buribaev N. ↓, Mukhametkhanov Z. ↑,
59', Sovpel V. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
64', Borodin D. 🟨,
65', Idrisov N. ↓, Konlimkos B. ↑,
66', Cuckic N. ↓, Kaldybekov E. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Lototskyi B. ⚽, Borodin D. (A),
70', Abdumannonov B. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
73', 2 - 3, Bagdat R. ⚽, Klaidher (A),
75', Gustavo Zago ↓, Ezekiel I. ↑,
79', Marcinho ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
89', Mukanov S. 🟨,
90+5', Klaidher 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 1.
Kaisar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Okzhetpes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Kaisar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kaisar won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).