Match Info

J1 League - Round 9

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: New National Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vissel Kobe		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	2.03	3.11	3.75	Watch
	2.07	3.22	3.91	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.06	3.26	3.86	Watch
	2.05	3.15	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.89)	3.18 ↓ (3.38)	3.77 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
45.6%

Draw
29.5%

Albirex Niigata
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Vissel Kobe (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Albirex Niigata (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vissel Kobe will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vissel Kobe will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Albirex Niigata (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 23. Hirose R. 4. Yamakawa T. 3. Thuler 24. Sakai G. 6. Ogihara T. 7. Ideguchi Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 14. Yuruki K.	1. Fujita K. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 3. Inamura H. 31. Horigome Y. 16. Komi Y. 6. Akiyama H. 19. Hoshi Y. 7. Taniguchi K. 41. Hasegawa M. 99. Ono Y.
Substitutes
21. Arai S. (G) 16. Caetano 27. Erik 77. Gustavo Klismahn 52. Hamasaki K. 15. Honda Y. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 5. Saito M. 13. Sasaki D.	11. Danilo Gomes 5. Fitzgerald M. 42. Hashimoto K. 15. Hayakawa F. 46. Kasai K. 8. Miyamoto E. 30. Okumura J. 9. Yamura K. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Kimori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Hasegawa M. ⚽, Hoshi Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
60', Muto Y. ↓, Erik ↑,
73', Inamura H. ↓, Fitzgerald M. ↑,
76', Osako Y. ↓, Sasaki D. ↑,
81', Ono Y. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
81', Horigome Y. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,
84', Yuruki K. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
84', Hirose R. ↓, Caetano ↑,
90+2', Hasegawa M. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - New National Stadium.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vissel Kobe won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Vissel Kobe have a series of guest games.

In this match Vissel Kobe is a favorite.

There will not play in Niigata: Inamura H. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Vissel Kobe won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:14 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.76%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
02.04.25	Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Shonan Bellmare - Vissel Kobe	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
12.03.25	Gwangju - Vissel Kobe	3:0 ET ✺
05.03.25	Vissel Kobe - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League
02.04.25	Albirex Niigata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka	3:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Albirex Niigata	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
15.03.25	Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
22.09.24	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	2:3
06.05.24	Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata	3:2
07.07.23	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	0:1
09.04.23	Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata	0:0
30.09.17	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	0:2
Japan J League Cup
31.05.17	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	0:1
Japan J1 League
04.03.17	Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata	2:1

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