Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jonavos centrinis stadionas (Jonava) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Simani P. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	17:00	S4C Clic, S4C


	Kauno Žalgiris		Pen-y-Bont

	1	X	2
	1.17	7	10	Watch
	1.21	5.75	13
	1.2	5.5	15	Watch
	1.19	6.4	13.84
				Watch
	1.22	5.5	15
	1.23	6.2	11.6	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.8)	5.71 ↑ (3.6)	11.81 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris
74.9%

Draw
16.9%

Pen-y-Bont
8.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Žalgiris's performance.

Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pen-y-Bont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Kauno Žalgiris - Pen y Bont Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.75 - Kauno Žalgiris (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Pen-y-Bont (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kauno Žalgiris will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Pen-y-Bont (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Svedkauskas T. (G) 21. Bah-Traore H. 3. Tolordava A. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 10. Sirgedas G. (C) 6. Pavlovic D. 9. Chogadze T. 7. Benchaib A. 70. Ourega F. 19. Jansonas R.	1. Armstrong L. (G) 30. Little M. 2. Ludvigsen K. 4. Kircough G. 6. Davies M. (C) 21. Baker A. 29. Green C. 18. Jones J. 11. Daley N. 10. Crole J. 8. Pritchard O.
Substitutes
8. Armanavicius V. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 2. Burdzilauskas T. 11. Cernych F. 66. Jurjonas E. 5. Kerkez D. 20. Lekiatas R. 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 35. Miksiunas J. (G) 14. Naah D. 79. Paulauskas V. 30. Vosylius N.	20. Best A. (G) 16. Borge B. 15. Clay J. 3. Owen K. 14. Phillips I. 35. Price J. (G) 17. Warlow O. 5. Woodiwiss J. 7. Wood N. D.
Coaches
Cerniauskas E.	Griffiths R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Kircough G. (Own goal), Benchaib A. (A),
24', Jones J. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Sirgedas G. ⚽,
40', Davies M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 3 - 0, Pavlovic D. ⚽, Ourega F. (A),
65', Davies M. 🟨,
68', Pritchard O. ↓, Wood N. D. ↑,
68', Jones J. ↓, Owen K. ↑,
74', Little M. ↓, Woodiwiss J. ↑,
76', Sirgedas G. ↓, Cernych F. ↑,
76', Chogadze T. ↓, Naah D. ↑,
88', Baker A. ↓, Clay J. ↑,
88', Benchaib A. ↓, Burdzilauskas E. ↑,
88', Ourega F. ↓, Paulauskas V. ↑,
89', Jansonas R. ↓, Armanavicius V. ↑,
90+4', Ludvigsen K. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Jonavos centrinis stadionas.

Kauno Žalgiris is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kauno Žalgiris has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Kauno Žalgiris will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.85%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.07.25	Riteriai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:5 ✺
30.06.25	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
19.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWT
- Pen-y-Bont FC
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Pen-y-Bont - Merthyr Town	3:0 ✺
28.06.25	Airdrieonians - Pen-y-Bont	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Pen-y-Bont - Afan Lido	7:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.04.25	Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW

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