Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Pohang Steel Yard (Pohang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro SuperSport 3
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sport 2 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Pohang Steelers		Shanghai Port

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.75
	2.25	4	2.65
	2.31	4.05	2.67
	2.3	3.98	2.64	Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.62	Watch
	2.36	3.8	2.74	Watch
	2.25	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.55)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	2.67 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohang Steelers
40.9%

Draw
24.1%

Shanghai Port
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

23.9%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

23.4%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pohang Steelers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Port could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Pohang Steelers - Shanghai Port Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pohang will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yun Pyeong-guk (G) 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 4. Jeon Min-kwang 34. Lee Gyu-Baeg 77. Wanderson (C) 26. Lee Tae-Seok 6. Kim Jong-Woo 8. Oberdan 37. Hong Yoon-Sang 20. An J. 9. Jorge Luiz	1. Yan Junling (G) 4. Wang Shenchao 3. Browning T. 13. Wei Zhen 32. Li Shuai 22. Matheus Jussa 18. Leo Cittadini 30. Popp W. 8. Oscar (C) 11. Lu Wenjun 9. Gustavo
Substitutes
5. Aspropotamitis J. 10. Baek Sung-Dong 55. Choi Hyeon-Woong 2. Eo Jeong-Won 16. Han Chan-Hee 21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 18. Kang Hyeon-Je 7. Kim In-Sung 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 19. Yoon Min-ho 13. Yoon Seok-Joo	31. Bao Shimeng 6. Cai Huikang 12. Chen Wei (G) 38. Deming Li 25. Du Jia (G) 27. Feng Jing 23. Fu Huan 2. Li Ang 45. Liu Xiaolong 33. Liu Zhurun 16. Xu Xin 20. Yang Shiyuan
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha	Muscat K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Kim Jong-Woo 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lee Tae-Seok ↓, Jeong Jae-Hee ↑,
46', Kim Jong-Woo ↓, Han Chan-Hee ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Wanderson ⚽, Jeong Jae-Hee (A),
63', Lu Wenjun ↓, Feng Jing ↑,
63', Wang Shenchao ↓, Fu Huan ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Hong Yoon-Sang ⚽, Jorge Luiz (A),
69', Jeon Min-kwang 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Han Chan-Hee ⚽, Jeong Jae-Hee (A),
76', Shin Kwang-Hoon 🟨,
76', Popp W. 🟨,
79', Matheus Jussa 🟥,
82', Wanderson ↓, Eo Jeong-Won ↑,
82', Hong Yoon-Sang ↓, Baek Sung-Dong ↑,
87', Oberdan ↓, Kang Hyeon-Je ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Pohang is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shanghai Port in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pohang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shanghai Port have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.24	Pohang Steelers - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Pohang Steelers - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Pohang Steelers	4:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.24	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL
- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
28.09.24	Shanghai Port - Qingdao West Coast	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
25.09.24	Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua	3:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
21.09.24	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Port	3:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.09.24	Shanghai Port - Johor Darul Takzim	2:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
13.09.24	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTW

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