Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 6

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fagiano Okayama		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.73	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.05
	4.15	3.36	1.84	Watch
	3.53	3.37	2.14
	4.73	3.67	1.77	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.95
	4.49	3.75	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.47)	3.45 ↑ (3.34)	1.89 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
22.8%

Draw
27.3%

Kawasaki Frontale
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.1%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kawasaki Frontale's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Fagiano Okayama - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 2. Tatsuta Y. 18. Tagami D. 15. Kudo K. 28. Matsumoto M. 24. Fujita I. 3. Fujii K. 50. Kato H. 8. Esaka A. 99. Lucao 27. Kimura T.	98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 5. Sasaki A. 2. Takai K. 35. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 19. Kawahara S. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. 23. Marcinho 9. Erison
Substitutes
4. Abe K. 22. Ichimi K. 19. Iwabuchi H. 33. Kamiya Yuta 1. Sasaki M. (G) 39. Sato R. 7. Takeuchi R. 6. Wakasa Y. 88. Yanagi T.	44. Haydar C. 41. Ienaga A. 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 24. Miyagi T. 16. Ozeki Y. 18. Segawa Y. 8. Tachibanada K. 31. van Wermeskerken S. 20. Yamada S.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Erison 🟨,
43', Ito T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ito T. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
62', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
62', Erison ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
66', Esaka A. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
66', Kato H. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
73', Kimura T. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
73', Fujii K. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
75', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
84', Kawahara S. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
86', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Okayama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kawasaki will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Muscle Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Okayama won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League
08.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Fagiano Okayama - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Yokohama FC - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWLW
- Kawasaki Frontale
AFC Champions League
12.03.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Shanghai Shenhua	4:0 ✺
05.03.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.03.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
14.08.19	Kawasaki Frontale - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ET

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