Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: New Central Park (Kelty)


	Kelty Hearts		East Fife

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	2.08	3.3	3.25
	2.31	3.15	3.18
	2.16	3.27	3.32	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.1	3.2	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.27)	3.24 ↑ (3.23)	3.23 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
43.1%

Draw
28.4%

East Fife
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.3%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

26.1%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kelty Hearts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Fife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kelty Hearts - East Fife Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kelty Hearts will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gourlay K. (G) 12. Fisher S. 35. Brydon J. 20. Corr D. 3. Paterson B. 8. Arnott A. 15. Clay C. (C) 6. Ferguson A. 10. Murray I. 7. Moore L. 17. McCarvel L.	21. Adams R. (G) 6. McManus C. 19. Munro A. 5. Easton B. (C) 11. Peggie R. 23. Culbert S. 4. Millar K. 22. McKenna M. 24. Wilson D. 9. Austin N. 8. Slattery P.
Substitutes
21. Adamson R. (G) 24. Cooper C. 26. Cunningham R. 25. Davidson A. 14. Graham J. 30. Leitch G. 18. Pettifer A. 2. Thomas M.	14. El-Harek O. 7. Gaffney M. 16. Halliday D. 2. Halsey J. 18. Healy J. 1. Hemfrey R. (G) 17. Latona L. 25. Oladipo D. 15. Rowe F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Paterson B. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
25', McCarvel L. ↓, Graham J. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Easton B. ⚽,
41', Munro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Thomas M. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,
46', Arnott A. ↓, Davidson A. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Ferguson A. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Austin N. ↓, Oladipo D. ↑,
76', Murray I. ↓, Cunningham R. ↑,
79', Slattery P. ↓, Healy J. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Kelty Hearts have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

East Fife's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

East Fife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kelty Hearts will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kelty Hearts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Kelty Hearts: 5.2% East Fife: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	East Fife	9	1	5	3	7:10	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

East Fife - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.45%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
07.03.26	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LTTTT
- East Fife
Scottish League One
07.03.26	East Fife - Hamilton Academical	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	East Fife - Alloa Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Peterhead - East Fife	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Hamilton Academical - East Fife	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	East Fife - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
27.12.25	East Fife - Kelty Hearts	0:1
25.10.25	Kelty Hearts - East Fife	0:3
23.08.25	East Fife - Kelty Hearts	2:1
Scottish League Cup
19.07.25	Kelty Hearts - East Fife	0:1
17.07.21	Kelty Hearts - East Fife	3:0

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