Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.03	3.38	2.39
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.96	3.25	2.29
	2.9	3.2	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.43)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.32 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
31.7%

Draw
28.5%

Oldham Athletic
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.2%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kidderminster Harriers's form might have worsened.

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kidderminster Harriers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Kidderminster Harriers - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kidderminster will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Oldham will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kidderminster: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dibble C. (G) 14. Brown Z. 10. Hemmings A. 24. Hobson B. 4. Knight-Percival N. 15. McDonagh G. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 5. Pearce K. (C) 2. Penny A. 3. Richards C.	13. Hudson M. (G) 22. Dickenson B. 19. Gardner D. 15. Green D. 5. Hobson S. 4. Hogan L. (C) 3. Kitching M. 30. Norwood J. 10. Nuttall J. 14. Sheron N. 21. Sutton W.
Substitutes
28. Hall K. 18. Lissimore K. 22. Maguire B. 1. Palmer T. (G) 7. Phillips K.	20. Hope H. 1. Norman M. (G) 25. Reid A. 6. Shelton M. 7. Willoughby K.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Kidderminster has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Oldham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kidderminster won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
23.09.23	Eastleigh - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Gateshead - Kidderminster Harriers	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Solihull Moors	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Southend United - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Oldham Athletic
English National League
23.09.23	Oldham Athletic - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
19.09.23	Oldham Athletic - York City	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Bromley - Oldham Athletic	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Oldham Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Gateshead - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
03.11.12	Kidderminster Harriers - Oldham Athletic	0:2

Upcoming Matches