Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Kilmarnock		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.2
	1.82	3.3	4.2
	1.88	3.2	4
	1.85	3.49	4.52
	1.83	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.44)	3.36 ↓ (4.2)	4.15 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilmarnock
50.1%

Draw
27.6%

Dunfermline Athletic
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kilmarnock's form might have worsened.

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunfermline Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunfermline Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kilmarnock - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 0.

Kilmarnock in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dunfermline is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kilmarnock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kilmarnock is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kilmarnock to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Kilmarnock won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Football Championship
01.04.22	Greenock Morton - Kilmarnock	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Kilmarnock - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Kilmarnock - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
11.03.22	Ayr United - Kilmarnock	1:3 ✺
05.03.22	Kilmarnock - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWWW
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
06.04.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
22.03.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	4:1 ✺
18.03.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Hamilton Academical - Dunfermline Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
26.02.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Kilmarnock	0:0
12.02.22	Kilmarnock - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1
16.10.21	Dunfermline Athletic - Kilmarnock	2:2
Scottish League Cup
13.10.20	Kilmarnock - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3
Scottish Premier League
12.05.12	Dunfermline Athletic - Kilmarnock	1:2

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