Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement matches - Round 1

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium (Kochi)


	Kochi United		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3	3.05	Watch
	2.26	3.05	3.11
	2.31	3.1	3.18	Watch
	2.2	3	3
	2.32	3.1	3.19	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.38)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kochi United
40.3%

Draw
30.1%

Renofa Yamaguchi
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kochi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Kochi United - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Inose K. (G) 3. Fukumiya K. 4. Kobayashi D. 22. Fujimori R. 16. Kozuki S. 76. Mikado Y. 8. Takano Y. 88. Hama T. 10. Sasaki T. 9. Shintani M. 18. Aoto K.	21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 15. Itakura T. 49. Mineda Y. 3. Oiwa K. 17. Tanabe K. 6. Wakasa Y. 7. Misawa N. 2. Ozawa R. 4. Nakashima K. 40. Naruoka H. 19. Yamamoto S.
Substitutes
26. Asano K. 33. Cho H. 5. Fukagawa D. 7. Kanehara A. 30. Kato Y. 23. Matsumoto D. 99. Murata Y. (G)	18. Kamekawa M. 81. Kimura Y. 28. Kobayashi S. 27. Mizuguchi H. 8. Noyori K. 22. Okuyama Y. 14. Shimodo R. 20. Suenaga T. 37. Yamanoi T. (G)
Coaches
Yoshimoto T.	Otagiri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Yamamoto S. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Yamamoto S. ⚽,
34', Choi Hyung-Chan 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Aoto K. ↓, Kanehara A. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Kanehara A. ⚽,
62', Itakura T. ↓, Kamekawa M. ↑,
62', Misawa N. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Kanehara A. ⚽,
81', Mikado Y. 🟨,
83', Shintani M. ↓, Cho H. ↑,
83', Mikado Y. ↓, Matsumoto D. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Tanabe K. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
91', Yamamoto S. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
91', Mineda Y. ↓, Shimodo R. ↑,
105', Nakashima K. ↓, Suenaga T. ↑,
106', 2 - 3, Kobayashi S. ⚽, Noyori K. (A),
108', Kanehara A. 🟨,
111', Fukumiya K. ↓, Kato Y. ↑,
111', Takano Y. ↓, Fukagawa D. ↑,
117', Kozuki S. ↓, Asano K. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.28%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kochi United
Japan J2 J3 League
24.05.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Kochi United	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Kochi United - Ehime	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United	0:3 ✺
06.05.26	Imabari - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kochi United - Osaka	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 penalties ✺
16.05.26	Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 penalties ✺
09.05.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:4 ✺
02.05.26	Gainare Tottori - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWL

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