Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Krasnodar		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.66
	4.75	3.9	1.7
	5.5	4.2	1.71
	5.4	3.95	1.64
	5.59	4.1	1.66
	5.5	3.9	1.63
	5.75	3.98	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (4.71)	3.98 ↑ (3.93)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
18%

Draw
24.2%

Sevilla
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

24.3%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

19.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	5.1%	85.5%

Krasnodar - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Sevilla will win (201 of 235 users predict this - 85.53%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.03% – 90.03%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Krasnodar has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sevilla has a very good chance of round of 16 (97%), has a chance of qtrs (38%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Krasnodar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sevilla is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Sevilla have a series of home games.

In this match Sevilla is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Krasnodar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Krasnodar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
21.11.20	Krasnodar - Tambov	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Zenit - Krasnodar	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.20	Sevilla - Krasnodar	3:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
31.10.20	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.10.20	Krasnodar - Chelsea	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
21.11.20	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	4:2 ✺
07.11.20	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.20	Sevilla - Krasnodar	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.10.20	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.10.20	Sevilla - Rennes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.11.20	Sevilla - Krasnodar	3:2
UEFA Europa League
13.12.18	Sevilla - Krasnodar	3:0
04.10.18	Krasnodar - Sevilla	2:1

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