Match Info
Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finalsDate: 14 August 2025, ThursdayLocation: MCH Arena (Herning)Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
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Midtjylland |
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Fredrikstad |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Midtjylland
66.9% | Draw
19.2% | Fredrikstad
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Midtjylland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-4.4%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 78.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fredrikstad (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Fredrikstad (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Fredrikstad (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
16.  Olafsson E. (G)
13.  Gabriel A.
6.  Erlic M.
22.  Bech Sorensen M. (C)
29.  Paulinho
58.  Simsir A.
19.  Bravo P.
21.  Castillo D.
41. Gogorza M.
9.  Buksa A.
7.  Franculino
| 77.  Borsheim M. (G)
28.  Owusu S.
12. Fredriksen U.
22. Woledzi M.
5. Rafn S. (C)
11.  Metcalfe P.
6. Owusu L.
20. Ohlenschlaeger O.
4. Molde S.
23. Skogvold H.
14.  Bjartalid J.
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| Substitutes |
55. Bak V.
20. Byskov V.
14.  Chilufya E.
10.  Cho Gue-Sung
80.  Dani Silva
90.  Etim F.
74. Junior Brumado
3. Lee Han-Beom
1. Lossl J. (G)
43.  Mbabu K.
11.  Osorio D.
31.  Selin L. (G)
| 18. Begby L.
16. Eid D.
40. Granaas E.
9. Holten E.
17. Kvile S.
25. Langbraten O. (G)
2. Okpaleke K.
1. Ovretveit O. (G)
19.  Shein R. R.
3. Skaret B.
31. Solberg E.
13. Sorlokk S.
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| Coaches |
Thomasberg T.
| Hagen A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Bech Sorensen M. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Gogorza M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bjartalid J. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
- 46', Rafn S. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 58', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 59', Buksa A. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 59', Erlic M. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
- 60', Franculino ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
- 70', Owusu S. ↓, Eid D. ↑,
- 75', Bravo P. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
- 78', Gogorza M. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
- 78', Owusu L. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
- 85', Gabriel A. 🟨,
- 89', Molde S. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.Midtjylland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Fredrikstad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Midtjylland is the clear favorite.We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
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