The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Machida Zelvia 52.2%
Draw 26.1%
Kyoto Sanga 21.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.6%
22.5%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
21.5%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machida Zelvia's form might have worsened.
Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. 50. Okamura D. 2. Ouwejan T. 88. Nakamura H. 16. Mae H. 18. Shimoda H. 33. Akimoto T. 20. Nishimura T. 8. Sento K. 9. Ogawa K.
90. Halls (G) 40. Ishida Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 15. Nagata K. 26. Kato R. 10. Fukuoka S. 24. Morooka H. 44. Sato K. 77. Arai H. 48. Nakano R. 9. Rafael Elias
Substitutes
5. Dresevic I. 15. Duke M. 89. Guimaraes N. (G) 66. Koch A. (G) 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F. 99. Yengi T.
38. Everton Maceio 11. Marco Tulio 18. Matsuda T. 1. Ota G. (G) 62. Shichi T. 17. Souza Alex 5. Tawiah H. 60. Yamanaka R. 25. Yoon S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Shoji G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
64', Morooka H. ↓, Yoon S. ↑,
65', Rafael Elias 🟨,
70', Fukuoka S. ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
70', Nagata K. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
76', Nishimura T. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
84', Rafael Elias ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
84', Nakano R. ↓, Tawiah H. ↑,
88', Nakamura H. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
88', Mae H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Kato R. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
102', Ogawa K. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
102', Sento K. ↓, Tokumura F. ↑,
110', Shoji G. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Dresevic I. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Marco Tulio (Penalty Awarded),
2, Shimoda H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yoon S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tani K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Arai H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ouwejan T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sato K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Shirasaki R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
Machida Zelvia has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Kyoto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Machida Zelvia has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this matchup, Machida Zelvia is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Machida Zelvia has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:18 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Machida Zelvia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
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Tani K. (G) 
Ouwejan T. 
Halls (G) 
Dresevic I. 
Duke M. 
Guimaraes N. (G) 
Koch A. (G) 
Yoon S. 
