Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 34

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kyoto Sanga		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.9	4.33
	1.68	3.7	4.44	Watch
	1.78	4.18	4.68
	1.7	4.1	4.62	Watch
	1.65	4	4.2
	1.7	4.13	4.59	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.7)	3.95 ↓ (3.98)	4.51 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
55.3%

Draw
23.8%

Sagan Tosu
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kyoto Sanga - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 2. Fukuda S. 24. Miyamoto Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 44. Sato K. 10. Fukuoka S. 7. Kawasaki S. 39. Hirato T. 23. Toyokawa Y. 99. Rafael Elias 9. Marco Tulio	71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 2. Yamazaki K. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 33. Nishiya K. 8. Nakahara H. 21. Horigome Y. 77. Slivka V. 6. Fukuta A. 99. Marcelo Ryan 22. Togashi C.
Substitutes
5. Appiah Tawiah H. 31. Hiraga S. 19. Kaneko D. 18. Matsuda T. 77. Murilo 26. Ota G. (G) 28. Suzuki T.	70. Jaja 3. Kimura S. 28. Maruhashi Y. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 32. Sakaiya K. 47. Suzuki D. 25. Watanabe R.
Coaches
Cho K.	Kitani K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Gu Sung-Yun 🟥,
14', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Ota G. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
58', Togashi C. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
58', Horigome Y. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽,
66', Harada W. 🟨,
70', Fukuoka S. ↓, Kaneko D. ↑,
70', Slivka V. ↓, Jaja ↑,
70', Kim Tae-Hyeon ↓, Maruhashi Y. ↑,
74', Miyamoto Y. 🟨,
80', Fukuta A. ↓, Kimura S. ↑,
80', Sato K. ↓, Appiah Tawiah H. ↑,
80', Hirato T. ↓, Hiraga S. ↑,
81', Rafael Elias ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Fukuda S. ⚽,
90+6', Marcelo Ryan 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 1.

Recent matches Kyoto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tosu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Kyoto is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kyoto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
06.10.24	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
18.09.24	Kyoto Sanga - JEF United Chiba	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTWW
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J1 League
05.10.24	Tokyo - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Sagan Tosu - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
22.06.24	Sagan Tosu - Kyoto Sanga	3:0
30.09.23	Sagan Tosu - Kyoto Sanga	3:2
23.04.23	Kyoto Sanga - Sagan Tosu	2:3
01.10.22	Sagan Tosu - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
Japan J League Cup
23.04.22	Sagan Tosu - Kyoto Sanga	3:0
Japan J1 League
10.04.22	Kyoto Sanga - Sagan Tosu	3:1
Japan J League Cup
02.03.22	Kyoto Sanga - Sagan Tosu	2:1

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