Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Kyoto Sanga		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.09
	3.65	3.3	2.19
	3.5	3.25	2.05
	3.5	3.38	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.42)	3.28 ↓ (3.41)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
26.4%

Draw
28.6%

Tokushima Vortis
45%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

21.4%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kyoto Sanga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tokushima Vortis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kyoto Sanga - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion to J1 League).

Recent matches Kyoto is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tokushima is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tokushima will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Kyoto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J2 League
15.11.20	Mito HollyHock - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 ✺
11.11.20	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
08.11.20	Tochigi - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
04.11.20	Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
01.11.20	Kyoto Sanga - Montedio Yamagata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
15.11.20	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
11.11.20	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
07.11.20	Tokyo Verdy - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
04.11.20	Tokushima Vortis - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
01.11.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokushima Vortis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
04.07.20	Tokushima Vortis - Kyoto Sanga	1:1
31.08.19	Tokushima Vortis - Kyoto Sanga	2:1
28.04.19	Kyoto Sanga - Tokushima Vortis	0:0
13.10.18	Kyoto Sanga - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
12.05.18	Tokushima Vortis - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
16.07.17	Tokushima Vortis - Kyoto Sanga	1:1
04.03.17	Kyoto Sanga - Tokushima Vortis	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
31.10.26	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	✺
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
31.10.26	Tokushima Vortis - Yokohama FC	✺

Kyoto Sanga - Tokushima Vortis