Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 26

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)


	Tokyo Verdy		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.2	4.5
	1.63	3.55	5.3	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.9
	1.67	3.25	4.6
	1.72	3.62	5	Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.87)	3.42 ↑ (3.1)	4.84 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
53.7%

Draw
27.1%

Tokushima Vortis
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

30.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

29.6%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Tokushima Vortis aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tokyo Verdy - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tokushima will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vidotto M. (G) 6. Miyahara K. 15. Chida K. 5. Taira T. 2. Fukazawa D. 8. Saito K. 7. Morita K. 25. Inami T. 26. Kato R. 39. Someno I. 27. Yamada G.	1. Suarez J. (G) 26. Mori K. 3. Ishio R. 4. Abe T. 7. Shirai E. 39. Nishino T. 20. Kodama S. 30. Tsuboi K. 24. Nishiya K. 9. Mori K. 8. Kakitani Y.
Substitutes
13. Hayashi N. 41. Iida M. (G) 20. Kitajima Y. 22. Koda H. 11. Sakano T. 9. Sugimoto R. 16. Yamakoshi K.	18. Elsinho 13. Hasegawa Y. 33. Nakano K. 17. Takada S. 15. Tanahashi A. 21. Tanaka H. (G) 16. Watari D.
Coaches
Jofuku H.	Labaien B.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 1.

Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tokushima is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Tokyo Verdy have a series of guest games.

In this match Tokyo Verdy is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo Verdy won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy	2:2 ✺
05.07.23	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWW
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokushima Vortis	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Tokushima Vortis - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
05.07.23	Mito HollyHock - Tokushima Vortis	3:1 ✺
01.07.23	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:0 ✺
25.06.23	Vegalta Sendai - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
12.03.23	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo Verdy	0:2
24.08.22	Tokyo Verdy - Tokushima Vortis	0:1
06.03.22	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
07.11.20	Tokyo Verdy - Tokushima Vortis	1:2
23.02.20	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo Verdy	3:0
16.11.19	Tokyo Verdy - Tokushima Vortis	1:2
24.03.19	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo Verdy	1:1

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