Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Köln		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.12	3.56	3.85
	1.96	3.62	3.82	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.09	3.47	3.78	Watch
	2	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)	3.49 ↓ (3.76)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Köln
47.1%

Draw
27.4%

St. Pauli
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	9.5%	23.8%

Köln - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 28 - 68.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 9 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 54.1% – 82.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 2 - 28.6%). St. Pauli (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - St. Pauli (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Köln (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 3 - 33.3%). St. Pauli (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 28. Sebulonsen S. 6. Martel E. 33. van den Berg R. 29. Thielmann J. 8. Huseinbasic D. 5. Krauss T. 16. Kaminski J. 7. Waldschmidt L. 13. El Mala S. 30. Bulter M.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 11. Pyrka A. 6. Sands J. 23. Oppie L. 16. Fujita J. 7. Irvine J. (C) 19. Kaars M. 28. Pereira Lage M.
Substitutes
9. Ache R. 17. Castro-Montes A. 25. Gazibegovic J. 18. Johannesson I. 11. Kainz F. 32. Lund K. 37. Maina L. 39. Ozkacar C. 20. Zieler R. (G)	20. Ahlstrand E. 9. Ceesay A. 25. Dzwigala A. 26. Jones R.J. 24. Metcalfe C. 21. Ritzka L. 2. Saliakas M. 10. Sinani D. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wahl H. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, El Mala S. ⚽, Waldschmidt L. (A),
68', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
68', Kaars M. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
73', Bulter M. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
73', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
73', Sands J. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
82', Krauss T. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
83', El Mala S. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
86', Mets K. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
88', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Jones R.J. ⚽, Sinani D. (A),
90+5', Jones R.J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Köln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Köln: Heintz D. (Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Muscle Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Pauli - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 26.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Werder Bremen - Köln	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Köln - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:4 ✺
08.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Köln - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL
- FC St. Pauli
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayern Munich - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	St. Pauli - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.02.19	Köln - St. Pauli	4:1
02.09.18	St. Pauli - Köln	3:5
04.05.14	Köln - St. Pauli	4:0
29.11.13	St. Pauli - Köln	0:3
18.02.13	St. Pauli - Köln	0:1
17.09.12	Köln - St. Pauli	0:0

Upcoming Matches