Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Mozambique	16:30	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	Shahid
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV3
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Köln		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.12	3.56	3.85
	1.96	3.62	3.82	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.09	3.47	3.78	Watch
	2	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)	3.49 ↓ (3.76)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
47.1%

Draw
27.4%

St. Pauli
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	9.5%	23.8%

Köln - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 28 - 68.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 9 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 54.1% – 82.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 2 - 28.6%). St. Pauli (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - St. Pauli (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Köln (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 3 - 33.3%). St. Pauli (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 28. Sebulonsen S. 6. Martel E. 33. van den Berg R. 29. Thielmann J. 8. Huseinbasic D. 5. Krauss T. 16. Kaminski J. 7. Waldschmidt L. 13. El Mala S. 30. Bulter M.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 11. Pyrka A. 6. Sands J. 23. Oppie L. 16. Fujita J. 7. Irvine J. (C) 19. Kaars M. 28. Pereira Lage M.
Substitutes
9. Ache R. 17. Castro-Montes A. 25. Gazibegovic J. 18. Johannesson I. 11. Kainz F. 32. Lund K. 37. Maina L. 39. Ozkacar C. 20. Zieler R. (G)	20. Ahlstrand E. 9. Ceesay A. 25. Dzwigala A. 26. Jones R.J. 24. Metcalfe C. 21. Ritzka L. 2. Saliakas M. 10. Sinani D. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wahl H. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, El Mala S. ⚽, Waldschmidt L. (A),
68', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
68', Kaars M. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
73', Bulter M. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
73', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
73', Sands J. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
82', Krauss T. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
83', El Mala S. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
86', Mets K. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
88', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Jones R.J. ⚽, Sinani D. (A),
90+5', Jones R.J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Köln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Köln: Heintz D. (Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Muscle Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Pauli - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 26.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Werder Bremen - Köln	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Köln - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:4 ✺
08.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Köln - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL
- FC St. Pauli
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayern Munich - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	St. Pauli - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.02.19	Köln - St. Pauli	4:1
02.09.18	St. Pauli - Köln	3:5
04.05.14	Köln - St. Pauli	4:0
29.11.13	St. Pauli - Köln	0:3
18.02.13	St. Pauli - Köln	0:1
17.09.12	Köln - St. Pauli	0:0

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