Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bayern Munich		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	1.09	10	26	Watch
	1.09	10.5	28	Watch
	1.12	11	26
	1.11	9.51	21.35	Watch
				Watch
	1.13	10.2	27	Watch
	1.09	10	31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 (1.11)	10.2 ↑ (9.51)	26.56 ↑ (21.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
87%

Draw
9.4%

St. Pauli
3.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.6%

10%

4.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	12.1%	6.1%

Bayern Munich - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 27 - 81.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 68.6% – 95%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Bayern (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 27. Laimer K. 3. Kim Min-Jae 4. Tah J. 20. Bischof T. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 42. Karl L. 22. Guerreiro R. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 11. Pyrka A. 6. Sands J. 21. Ritzka L. 16. Fujita J. 7. Irvine J. (C) 27. Hountondji A. 28. Pereira Lage M.
Substitutes
23. Boey S. 7. Gnabry S. 8. Goretzka L. 21. Ito H. 11. Jackson N. 30. Kiala C. 17. Olise M. 44. Stanisic J. 40. Urbig J. (G)	9. Ceesay A. 25. Dzwigala A. 26. Jones R.J. 19. Kaars M. 24. Metcalfe C. 23. Oppie L. 2. Saliakas M. 10. Sinani D. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Kompany V.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Hountondji A. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
18', Hountondji A. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
39', Mets K. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Guerreiro R. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Laimer K. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
65', Karl L. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
65', Guerreiro R. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
68', Irvine J. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
68', Ritzka L. ↓, Oppie L. ↑,
77', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
83', Tah J. 🟨,
83', Pavlovic A. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
87', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
90+6', 3 - 1, Jackson N. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St. Pauli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Bayern won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWW
- FC St. Pauli
German Bundesliga
23.11.25	St. Pauli - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	3:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
29.03.25	Bayern Munich - St. Pauli	3:2
09.11.24	St. Pauli - Bayern Munich	0:1

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