Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Brazil	11:30	Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	16:30	Nova Sport
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:30	ESPN Premium
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:30	ESPN
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	See, Viaplay
Fiji	02:30	Sky Pacific
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:30	Arena Premium 3
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	22:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 5
Singapore	22:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+
Ukraine	16:30	Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Bayern Munich		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	1.09	10	26	Watch
	1.09	10.5	28	Watch
	1.12	11	26
	1.11	9.51	21.35	Watch
				Watch
	1.13	10.2	27	Watch
	1.09	10	31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 (1.11)	10.2 ↑ (9.51)	26.56 ↑ (21.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
87%

Draw
9.4%

St. Pauli
3.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85.6%

10%

4.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	12.1%	6.1%

Bayern Munich - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 27 - 81.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 68.6% – 95%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Bayern (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 27. Laimer K. 3. Kim Min-Jae 4. Tah J. 20. Bischof T. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 42. Karl L. 22. Guerreiro R. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 11. Pyrka A. 6. Sands J. 21. Ritzka L. 16. Fujita J. 7. Irvine J. (C) 27. Hountondji A. 28. Pereira Lage M.
Substitutes
23. Boey S. 7. Gnabry S. 8. Goretzka L. 21. Ito H. 11. Jackson N. 30. Kiala C. 17. Olise M. 44. Stanisic J. 40. Urbig J. (G)	9. Ceesay A. 25. Dzwigala A. 26. Jones R.J. 19. Kaars M. 24. Metcalfe C. 23. Oppie L. 2. Saliakas M. 10. Sinani D. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Kompany V.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Hountondji A. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
18', Hountondji A. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
39', Mets K. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Guerreiro R. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Laimer K. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
65', Karl L. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
65', Guerreiro R. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
68', Irvine J. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
68', Ritzka L. ↓, Oppie L. ↑,
77', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
83', Tah J. 🟨,
83', Pavlovic A. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
87', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
90+6', 3 - 1, Jackson N. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St. Pauli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Bayern won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWW
- FC St. Pauli
German Bundesliga
23.11.25	St. Pauli - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Freiburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	3:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
29.03.25	Bayern Munich - St. Pauli	3:2
09.11.24	St. Pauli - Bayern Munich	0:1

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