Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Colombia	ESPN 5
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Sportdigital+
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+ app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	LDU Quito		Central Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.8
	1.75	3.6	4.75
	1.79	3.58	4.73
	1.81	3.6	4.52
	1.75	3.4	4.4	Watch
	1.88	3.63	4.25	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.64)	3.58 ↓ (3.99)	4.68 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
53.5%

Draw
26.3%

Central Córdoba
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Central Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

LDU Quito - Central Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Central Córdoba will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 50%). Central Córdoba (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - LDU Quito (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Central Córdoba (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 2 - 50%). Central Córdoba (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 33. Quinonez L. 3. Mina R. 4. Ade R. (C) 14. Quintero J. 10. Alvarado A. 5. Minda K. 20. Cornejo F. 9. Alzugaray L. 19. Arce A. 23. Diaz M.	1. Aguerre A. (G) 24. Cufre B. 19. Rivero L. 2. Abascia L. (C) 33. Moyano S. 32. Ignacio G. 7. Angulo L. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 8. Gomez I. 11. Perello M. 12. Heredia L.
Substitutes
30. Allala Menendez G. F. 24. Cabeza A. 27. Caicedo M. 21. Castillo E. 31. de la Cruz D. I. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 26. Duran P. 2. Erique Villigua Y. H. 11. Estrada M. 7. Pastran L. 32. Rodriguez J. 15. Villamil G.	26. Barrera D. 23. Bursich L. (G) 17. Casermeiro Y. 45. Funez N. 21. Glaby D. 6. Mansilla F. 3. Marchi L. 20. Martinez F. 4. Pillud I. . 27. Quagliata N. 5. Vega C. 10. Veron G.
Coaches
Sanchez P.	De F. O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Quinonez L. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Alvarado A. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
38', Gomez I. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Alzugaray L. ⚽, Arce A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perello M. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
46', Angulo L. ↓, Veron G. ↑,
46', Moyano S. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
50', Rivero L. 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Alzugaray L. ⚽, Alvarado A. (A),
59', Arce A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
63', Cufre B. ↓, Marchi L. ↑,
73', Heredia L. ↓, Funez N. ↑,
75', Alzugaray L. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
75', Diaz M. ↓, Erique Villigua Y. H. ↑,
89', Minda K. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
89', Mina R. ↓, Allala Menendez G. F. ↑,
90+2', Veron G. 🟨,
90+5', Estrada M. 🟨,
90+6', Abascia L. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Central Córdoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of away games.

In this match, LDU Quito is the team to beat.

There will not play in LDU Quito: Gruezo C. (Yellow Cards) Mina F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Montoya L. (Knee Injury) Pillud I. . (Inactive) Varaldo L. (Knee Injury) Vega C. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, LDU Quito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Central Córdoba - the odds 4.92 are the expected chance of winning is 19.12%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	3:1 ✺
19.05.25	LDU Quito - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.25	Flamengo - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.05.25	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Deportivo Táchira - LDU Quito	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWW
- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Copa Libertadores
13.05.25	Deportivo Táchira - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
07.05.25	Central Córdoba - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Banfield - Central Córdoba	3:1 ✺
28.04.25	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.04.25	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
03.04.25	Central Córdoba - LDU Quito	0:0

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