Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	21:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	21:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	03:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	20:30	Disney+
Colombia	19:30	Disney+
Georgia	04:30	Silk Sport 1
Germany	02:30	Sportdigital+
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 4
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Mexico	18:30	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	19:30	Disney+
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV1
Russia	03:30	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Turkey	03:30	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, Inter


	Flamengo		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.14	9	17	Watch
	1.19	7.25	15
	1.12	8	23	Watch
	1.13	8.33	18.68
	1.14	7.98	20.98	Watch
	1.18	6.5	15	Watch
	1.12	9.2	23	Watch
	1.12	8.4	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.17)	8.08 ↑ (6.88)	19.21 ↑ (16.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
83.3%

Draw
11.8%

LDU Quito
5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.7%

13.7%

5.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Flamengo - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - LDU Quito (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 43. Wesley Franca 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 8. Gerson (C) 18. de la Cruz N. 7. Luiz Araujo 10. de Arrascaeta G. 30. Michael 27. Bruno Henrique	1. Valle G. (G) 31. de la Cruz D. I. 4. Ade R. (C) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 33. Quinonez L. 5. Minda K. 8. Gruezo C. 10. Alvarado A. 20. Cornejo F. 9. Alzugaray L. 19. Arce A.
Substitutes
6. Ayrton Lucas 13. Danilo 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 61. Joao Victor 79. Joshua 23. Juninho 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 9. Pedro 2. Varela G. 64. Wallace Yan	6. Aimar D. 24. Cabeza A. 21. Castillo E. 23. Diaz M. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 2. Erique Villigua Y. H. 11. Estrada M. 3. Mina R. 7. Pastran L. 14. Quintero J. 32. Rodriguez J. 15. Villamil G.
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Sanchez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Leo Ortiz ⚽, Luiz Araujo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Luiz Araujo ⚽,
56', Michael ↓, Everton ↑,
57', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
66', de la Cruz D. I. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
66', Alzugaray L. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
68', Minda K. 🟨,
74', Minda K. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
77', Cornejo F. 🟨,
84', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
84', de la Cruz N. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
85', Alvarado A. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
85', Arce A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
88', Ade R. 🟨,
90+1', Luiz Araujo ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
90+2', Gruezo C. 🟨,
90+4', Alex Sandro 🟨,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

LDU Quito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Flamengo is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Plata G. (Knee Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in LDU Quito: Dominguez A. (Suspended) Mina F. (Inactive) Ramirez Leon B. J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Flamengo: Allan (Injury) Pulgar E. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.25	Flamengo - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Central Córdoba - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.05.25	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Botafogo PB - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Flamengo - Corinthians	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLWW
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.05.25	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Deportivo Táchira - LDU Quito	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.05.25	LDU Quito - El Nacional	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	LDU Quito - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	LDU Quito - Flamengo	0:0
19.05.21	Flamengo - LDU Quito	2:2
04.05.21	LDU Quito - Flamengo	2:3
24.04.19	LDU Quito - Flamengo	2:1
13.03.19	Flamengo - LDU Quito	3:1

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