Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital+
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Flamengo		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.14	9	17	Watch
	1.19	7.25	15
	1.12	8	23	Watch
	1.13	8.33	18.68
	1.14	7.98	20.98	Watch
	1.18	6.5	15	Watch
	1.12	9.2	23	Watch
	1.12	8.4	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.17)	8.08 ↑ (6.88)	19.21 ↑ (16.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
83.3%

Draw
11.8%

LDU Quito
5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.7%

13.7%

5.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Flamengo - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - LDU Quito (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 43. Wesley Franca 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 8. Gerson (C) 18. de la Cruz N. 7. Luiz Araujo 10. de Arrascaeta G. 30. Michael 27. Bruno Henrique	1. Valle G. (G) 31. de la Cruz D. I. 4. Ade R. (C) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 33. Quinonez L. 5. Minda K. 8. Gruezo C. 10. Alvarado A. 20. Cornejo F. 9. Alzugaray L. 19. Arce A.
Substitutes
6. Ayrton Lucas 13. Danilo 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 61. Joao Victor 79. Joshua 23. Juninho 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 9. Pedro 2. Varela G. 64. Wallace Yan	6. Aimar D. 24. Cabeza A. 21. Castillo E. 23. Diaz M. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 2. Erique Villigua Y. H. 11. Estrada M. 3. Mina R. 7. Pastran L. 14. Quintero J. 32. Rodriguez J. 15. Villamil G.
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Sanchez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Leo Ortiz ⚽, Luiz Araujo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Luiz Araujo ⚽,
56', Michael ↓, Everton ↑,
57', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
66', de la Cruz D. I. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
66', Alzugaray L. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
68', Minda K. 🟨,
74', Minda K. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
77', Cornejo F. 🟨,
84', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
84', de la Cruz N. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
85', Alvarado A. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
85', Arce A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
88', Ade R. 🟨,
90+1', Luiz Araujo ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
90+2', Gruezo C. 🟨,
90+4', Alex Sandro 🟨,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

LDU Quito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Flamengo is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Plata G. (Knee Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in LDU Quito: Dominguez A. (Suspended) Mina F. (Inactive) Ramirez Leon B. J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Flamengo: Allan (Injury) Pulgar E. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.25	Flamengo - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Central Córdoba - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.05.25	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Botafogo PB - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Flamengo - Corinthians	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLWW
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.05.25	Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Deportivo Táchira - LDU Quito	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.05.25	LDU Quito - El Nacional	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	LDU Quito - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	LDU Quito - Flamengo	0:0
19.05.21	Flamengo - LDU Quito	2:2
04.05.21	LDU Quito - Flamengo	2:3
24.04.19	LDU Quito - Flamengo	2:1
13.03.19	Flamengo - LDU Quito	3:1

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