Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+, Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	ESPN 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, LaLiga+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Central Córdoba		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.2	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
	1.98	3.25	3.95
	1.98	3.2	4.32
	2.2	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.2	4.15	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.26)	3.16 ↑ (3.06)	3.91 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Córdoba
45.9%

Draw
29.9%

LDU Quito
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

31.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	30.8%	23.1%

Central Córdoba - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Central Córdoba will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Central Córdoba: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - LDU Quito (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - LDU Quito (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Central Córdoba will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Córdoba (votes: 3 - 50%). LDU Quito (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguerre A. (G) 19. Rivero L. 32. Galvan J. 2. Abascia L. 24. Cufre B. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 8. Gomez I. 33. Moyano S. 7. Angulo L. 12. Heredia L. 11. Perello M.	1. Valle G. (G) 33. Quinonez L. 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 4. Ade R. (C) 14. Quinteros J. 10. Alvarado A. 8. Gruezo C. 15. Villamil G. 9. Alzugaray L. 19. Arce A. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J.
Substitutes
26. Barrera D. 17. Casermeiro Y. 15. Cristoforo S. 45. Funez N. 21. Glaby D. 6. Mansilla F. 3. Marchi L. 4. Pillud I. . 27. Quagliata N. 10. Veron G. 18. Zalazar D. 22. Zozaya J. (G)	6. Aimar D. 24. Cabeza A. 21. Castillo E. 31. de la Cruz D. I. 23. Diaz M. 2. Erique Villigua Y. H. 11. Estrada M. 3. Mina R. 5. Minda K. 7. Pastran L. 32. Rodriguez J. 12. Villa A. (G)
Coaches
De F. O.	Sanchez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Galvan J. 🟨,
34', Rivero L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
69', Arce A. 🟨,
71', Alvarado A. 🟨,
72', Perello M. ↓, Barrera D. ↑,
77', Valle G. ↓, Villa A. ↑,
77', Alvarado A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
77', Arce A. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
83', Alzugaray L. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
86', Gomez I. ↓, Funez N. ↑,
86', Angulo L. ↓, Zalazar D. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Central Córdoba is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

LDU Quito is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Central Córdoba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Central Córdoba have a series of home games.

Central Córdoba will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Central Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.03.25	Central Córdoba - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.25	Tigre - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
28.02.25	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLT
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.03.25	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	LDU Quito - Delfín	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	LDU Quito - Orense	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWT

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