Match Info

Date: 27 May 2021, Thursday


	LDU Quito		Unión La Calera

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.36	5	7.25
	1.36	5.1	6.75	Watch
	1.43	4.7	5.8
	1.4	5.18	7.05
	1.38	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.9	6.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)	4.95 ↓ (5.07)	6.86 ↓ (7.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
67.4%

Draw
19%

Unión La Calera
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.4%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

9.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-30.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Quito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión La Calera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	10%	43.3%

LDU Quito - Unión La Calera Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). Unión La Calera will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

No spectators.

The competitors look crappy now.

LDU Quito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently LDU Quito have a series of guest games.

In this match LDU Quito is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.21	Delfín - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.21	Flamengo - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.05.21	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.05.21	Vélez Sársfield - LDU Quito	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.05.21	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTLLL
- Unión La Calera
Copa Libertadores
19.05.21	Vélez Sársfield - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
11.05.21	Unión La Calera - Flamengo	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.05.21	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Unión La Calera - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.05.21	Unión La Calera - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
21.04.21	Unión La Calera - LDU Quito	2:2

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