Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 2

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	La Luz		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	3.75	3.1	1.95
	3.83	3.13	2
	3.83	3.13	2.01
	4	3.1	1.85
	3.93	3.14	1.97	Watch
	3.55	3.05	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (5.08)	3.11 ↓ (4.04)	1.96 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Luz
24.1%

Draw
29.4%

Montevideo City Torque
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.9%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.4%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Luz's performance.

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Luz - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Teuten A. ⚽,

Preview

La Luz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montevideo City is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montevideo City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montevideo City is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches La Luz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams La Luz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.05.24	Albion Montevideo - La Luz	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Sud América - La Luz	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	La Luz - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Oriental de La Paz - La Luz	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	La Luz - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWL
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Uruguay Montevideo	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
17.04.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
06.10.23	Montevideo City Torque - La Luz	1:0
21.07.23	La Luz - Montevideo City Torque	1:3
27.02.23	La Luz - Montevideo City Torque	1:1

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