Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 23Date: 4 October 2025, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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La Luz |
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Albion Montevideo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.3 |
2.85 |
2.1 |
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 |
4.05 |
2.98 |
1.88 |
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 |
4.75 |
3.17 |
1.83 |
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 |
1.64 |
3.25 |
6.29 |
Watch |
 |
4.85 |
3.37 |
1.77 |
Watch |
 |
3.35 |
2.9 |
2.18 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↑
(3.25) |
3.09 ↓
(3.1) |
2.68 ↑
(2.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Luz
28.2% | Draw
33.4% | Albion Montevideo
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albion Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.La Luz - Albion Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Sequeira H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.La Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Albion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).Including home matches between the teams, La Luz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Last Results with these Odds
La Luz - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 13.07.25 | Albion Montevideo - La Luz | 3:0 | | 11.08.24 | La Luz - Albion Montevideo | 3:2 | | 11.05.24 | Albion Montevideo - La Luz | 1:0 | | 30.03.24 | La Luz - Albion Montevideo | 0:2 | | Uruguay Copa | | | 21.09.22 | Albion Montevideo - La Luz | 2:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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