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Current Win Probability
Lahden Reipas 41.7%
Draw 23.7%
PEPO Lappeenranta 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
23.8%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
24.2%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lahden Reipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
PEPO Lappeenranta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Harkonen O. (G) 24. Helttunen O. 17. Jarvinen L. 5. Kautonen T. 10. Kose B. (C) 21. Kuparinen E. 22. Nykanen H. 8. Paalanen A. 20. Salmensuu E. 16. Vatanen M. 19. Verkko M.
12. Kuitto M. (G) 10. Enbuska J. 9. Jammeh I. 25. Jappinen J. (C) 29. Junnikkala A. 21. Kohonen L. 14. Maki-Uuro T. 7. Salminen M. 4. Seppala E. 11. Sikanen E. 6. Turppo O.
Substitutes
11. Belhout Y. 30. Haapsaari P. (G) 23. Mynttinen J. 12. Ndabawedje E. 18. Saltykov T.
20. Hadi A. 13. Hinkkanen J. 19. Koistinen M. 23. Kopra T. (G) 2. Maijanen V. 18. Olives T. 26. Pesonen P. 40. Royti M. 16. Suoraniemi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Salminen M. ⚽,
25', Nykanen H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Jammeh I. ↓, Suoraniemi S. ↑,
63', Salmensuu E. ↓, Saltykov T. ↑,
72', Sikanen E. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Helttunen O. ⚽,
78', Jarvinen L. ↓, Belhout Y. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Turppo O. ⚽,
90', Salminen M. ↓, Maijanen V. ↑,
90+1', Kautonen T. ↓, Mynttinen J. ↑,
90+5', Saltykov T. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).
PEPO is Qualified for Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reipas won 1.
In recent matches, Reipas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
PEPO is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
PEPO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Reipas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Reipas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
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Harkonen O. (G) 
Jammeh I. 
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