Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 14

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Lahden Stadion (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Onefootball


	Lahti		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.35	3.30	2.85
	2.32	3.25	2.98
	2.35	3.45	3.23
	2.4	3.09	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.15
	2.24	3.56	2.93	Watch
	2.22	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)	3.36 ↓ (3.38)	3.01 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti
40.9%

Draw
27.9%

Gnistan
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Lahti - Gnistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lahti will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gnistan will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maukonen O. (C) 27. Yapi R. 5. Gianini Dantas N. 4. Muller J. 3. Sans R. 8. Montiel C. 18. Cassubie Y. 10. Koskinen O. 77. Sarr M. 19. Neemias 11. Martim Augusto	1. Craninx A. (G) 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 4. Marcelo Costa 27. Hannula O. 14. Eremenko S. 15. Europaeus G. 12. Arko-Mensah E. 23. Ylatupa S. 17. Akinyemi A. 11. Perez D.
Substitutes
14. Andersson E. 17. Belabid A. 12. Hakala A. (G) 7. Heikkinen D. 25. Inkinen T. 28. Kabashi A. 9. Lindholm A. 20. Ojanen J. 6. Vehkonen V.	7. Atarah A. 2. Dahlstrom B. 26. Eremenko R. 31. Jouhi A. 10. Latonen J. 40. Ojala J. 22. Ramilson (G) 50. Selenge J.
Coaches
Pereira G.	Leppalahti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marcelo Costa ↓, Ojala J. ↑,
46', Perez D. ↓, Dahlstrom B. ↑,
46', Arko-Mensah E. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Neemias ⚽, Yapi R. (A),
63', Hannula O. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
66', Sans R. 🟨,
67', Neemias ↓, Belabid A. ↑,
67', Koskinen O. ↓, Andersson E. ↑,
69', Latonen J. 🟨,
71', Ylatupa S. ↓, Eremenko R. ↑,
85', Martim Augusto ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
85', Yapi R. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
86', Montiel C. ↓, Vehkonen V. ↑,
89', Heikkinen D. 🟨,
90+2', Andersson E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 0.

Lahti is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gnistan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E. (Knee Injury) Launiala K. (Inactive) Lyberopoulos O. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lahti won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 3.5:2.5).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

Gnistan: 2.17%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40:32	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	Oulu - Lahti	1:1 ✺
23.06.26	Lahti - TPS	0:0 ✺
17.06.26	Gnistan - Lahti	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Lahti - SJK	2:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
10.06.26	Ilves - Lahti	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLLL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	1:1 ✺
23.06.26	FF Jaro - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	Gnistan - Lahti	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan	0:3 ✺
30.05.26	Gnistan - SJK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.06.26	Gnistan - Lahti	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.26	Gnistan - Lahti	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.10.24	Gnistan - Lahti	2:2
19.06.24	Lahti - Gnistan	3:3
02.06.24	Gnistan - Lahti	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
17.02.24	Gnistan - Lahti	1:2
Club Friendly
04.03.22	Lahti - Gnistan	4:2

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