Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Solitude (Belfast)

Referee: Andrews S. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Cliftonville		Larne

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.3	2.58
	2.79	3.23	2.62
	19.71	10.13	1.09	Watch
	2.56	3.2	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.9 ↑ (2.71)	4.97 ↑ (3.22)	2.23 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cliftonville
18.2%

Draw
25.3%

Larne
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.7%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cliftonville's form might have worsened.

Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Larne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cliftonville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Larne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Cliftonville - Larne Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cliftonville will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Larne will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Morrison P. (G) 20. Barr C. 22. Casey O. 42. Fapetu A. 21. Glynn M. 16. Gordon S. 19. Gormley J. 8. Hale R. 25. Keaney J. 3. Lavery T. 6. Wilson H.	1. Ferguson R. (G) 26. Bent D. 23. Cosgrove T. (C) . Donnelly A. 6. Gallagher C. 11. Graham S. 30. Lusty M. 7. McKendry C. 10. O'Connor T. 8. Randall M. 3. Ridley M.
Substitutes
4. Addis J. 10. Falls C. 32. McWoods E. 2. Pepper C. 1. Ridd L. (G) 23. Robertson S. 41. Sheridan J.	. Graham D. (G) 14. Magee B. 21. Millar L. 27. Moore K. 9. O'Neill P. 47. Simpson J. 46. Wallace L.
Coaches
Magilton J.	Haveron G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Cosgrove T. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, O'Connor T. ⚽,
34', Casey O. 🟨,
40', Fapetu A. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
45+2', Bent D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Glynn M. ↓, McWoods E. ↑,
62', McKendry C. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
62', Randall M. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
72', Gordon S. ↓, Falls C. ↑,
72', Gormley J. ↓, Sheridan J. ↑,
90', Bent D. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 1.

Cliftonville has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Larne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cliftonville won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Cliftonville - Coagh United	4:1 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
27.09.25	Cliftonville - Portadown	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Dungannon Swifts - Cliftonville	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Larne FC
Northern Irish Premiership
04.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Larne - Carrick Rangers	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Larne - Crusaders	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Larne - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bangor - Larne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
19.08.25	Cliftonville - Larne	1:1
Northern Irish League Cup
14.01.25	Larne - Cliftonville	0:1 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
10.01.25	Larne - Cliftonville	2:0
01.12.24	Larne - Cliftonville	1:1
27.09.24	Cliftonville - Larne	1:3
Northern Irish Charity Shield
05.07.24	Larne - Cliftonville	2:1
Northern Irish Premiership
13.04.24	Larne - Cliftonville	8:1

Upcoming Matches