Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Solitude (Belfast)

Referee: Diamantopoulos A. (Gre)


	Larne		HJK

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.25
	3.45	3.2	2.2
	3.4	3.15	2.23
	3.48	3.1	2.3
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.52	3.15	2.19
	3.55	3.2	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.06)	3.11 ↑ (3.02)	2.2 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Larne
27.5%

Draw
30.1%

HJK
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.9%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

32.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	21.9%	71.9%

Larne - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). HJK will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 56.3% – 87.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 18. Bolger C. 2. Want S. 4. Donnelly A. 25. Sloan D. 16. Gordon S. 22. Glynn M. 29. Ryan A. 10. Bonis L. 21. Millar L.	25. Iliev D. (G) 22. Raitala J. 4. Toivio J. 15. Tenho M. (C) 2. Ollila T. 24. Kanellopoulos G. 10. Lingman L. 18. Keskinen T. 23. Soiri P. 9. Radulovic B. 29. Olusanya A.
Substitutes
28. Dowling A. (G) 5. Farquhar C. 7. Kearns D. 20. Maguire T. 3. Omar A. 9. O'Neill P. 26. Smith C. 6. Thomson J. 17. Westendorf I.	97. Boamah M. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 59. Moller L. 1. Ost J. (G) 11. Riski Ro. 37. Tanaka A. 52. Toivonen A.
Coaches
Lynch T.	Korkeakunnas T.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

HJK will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Larne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
UEFA Champions League
12.07.23	HJK - Larne	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Larne	0:4 ✺
Northern Irish Charity Shield
01.07.23	Larne - Crusaders	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.23	Bangor - Larne	0:6 ✺
24.06.23	Larne - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW
- HJK Helsinki
UEFA Champions League
12.07.23	HJK - Larne	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.07.23	HJK - Lahti	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Honka - HJK	1:1 ✺
27.06.23	Haka - HJK	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	HJK - KTP Kotka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
12.07.23	HJK - Larne	1:0

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