Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Las Palmas		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	5	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.4
	1.8	3.35	4.6
	1.78	3.25	4.7
	1.8	3.47	5.18
				Watch
	1.78	3.42	4.85	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 (1.79)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)	4.78 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
52.5%

Draw
27.8%

Cartagena
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	10.5%	31.6%

Las Palmas - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Cartagena will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (23.49%), has project points - 72, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (47%), has a chance of win league (23%).

Cartagena has the most likely position - 1 (8.75%), has project points - 65, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has quality 39, importance 58, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Las Palmas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cartagena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Las Palmas to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
15.10.22	Ponferradina - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
12.10.22	Lugo - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Las Palmas - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Mirandés - Las Palmas	3:3 ✺
26.09.22	Las Palmas - Granada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTTW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
16.10.22	Cartagena - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Tenerife - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Cartagena - Leganés	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:3 ✺
26.09.22	Cartagena - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.02.22	Cartagena - Las Palmas	0:2
03.10.21	Las Palmas - Cartagena	4:1
20.02.21	Las Palmas - Cartagena	2:0
24.10.20	Cartagena - Las Palmas	3:0
11.05.12	Las Palmas - Cartagena	1:2

Upcoming Matches