Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Melero M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	16:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	beIN Connect
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	GXR World
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Plus
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport 5, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, ETB, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga TV Bar, TV Canaria
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	04:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	01:00	Futbol TV
Tanzania	23:00	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV Online
International	20:00	Disney+


	Las Palmas		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.75	Watch
	2.95	3	2.55
	2.85	3	2.8	Watch
	2.9	3.04	2.86
	2.88	2.97	2.73	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.62
	2.86	3.07	2.81	Watch
	2.85	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.77)	3 ↓ (3.03)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
33.2%

Draw
31.9%

Deportivo Alavés
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

31.5%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	37.7%	30.2%

Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 16 - 31.4%). Alavés will win (votes: 15 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 39.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.8% – 52.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cillessen J. (G) 4. Alex Suarez (C) 28. Herzog J. 15. McKenna S. 23. Munoz A. 5. Javier Munoz 8. Campana J. 21. Bajcetic S. 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F. 19. Ramirez S.	31. Rodriguez A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Abqar A. 12. Mourino S. 3. Sanchez M. 7. Vicente C. 24. Joan Jordan 6. Guevara A. (C) 21. Alena C. 11. Martinez T. 15. Martin C.
Substitutes
9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 13. Horkas D. (G) 24. Januzaj A. 12. Loiodice E. 3. Marmol M. 2. Marvin 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 33. Viera Garcia S.	19. Cabanes P. 2. Garces F. 17. Garcia K. 18. Guridi J. 16. Novoa Ramos H. 13. Owono J. (G) 36. Pica A. 23. Protesoni C. 4. Sedlar A. 41. Swiderski G. (G) 9. Villalibre A.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Joan Jordan 🟨,
5', Munoz A. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Martinez T. ⚽, Mourino S. (A),
45+1', Martinez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bajcetic S. ↓, McBurnie O. ↑,
46', Munoz A. ↓, Marmol M. ↑,
49', Ramirez S. 🟨,
60', Alex Suarez ↓, Marvin ↑,
60', Martinez T. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
61', Vicente C. ↓, Guridi J. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Guridi J. ⚽, Villalibre A. (A),
70', Ramirez S. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
76', Joan Jordan ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
77', Martin C. ↓, Garces F. ↑,
80', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
80', Campana J. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Silva F. (Pen),
90+3', Januzaj A. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Moleiro A. ⚽,
90+7', Martinez D. 🟨,
90+7', Coudet E. 🟨,
90+9', Villalibre A. 🟨,
90+10', Fuster M. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1.

Las Palmas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alavés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Essugo D. (Red Card) Pelmard A. (Injury) Ramirez B. (Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems) Viti (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Alavés: Blanco A. (Red Card) Conechny T. (Head Injury) Diarra M. (Yellow Cards) Novoa Ramos H. (Groin Injury) Sivera A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Marmol M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Alavés: Owono J. (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:18 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
09.03.25	Betis - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Las Palmas - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Mallorca - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Las Palmas - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.25	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Deportivo Alavés - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Leganés - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
09.02.25	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
01.09.24	Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas	2:0
26.05.24	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
09.12.23	Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
27.05.23	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
03.09.22	Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
22.04.18	Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés	0:4
08.12.17	Deportivo Alavés - Las Palmas	2:0

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