Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade de la Tuiliere (Lausanne)

Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+


	Lausanne-Sport		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.7	1.95	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.1
	3.25	3.7	1.98	Watch
	3.26	3.93	2.06
	2.93	3.48	2.27	Watch
	3.12	3.89	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.67)	3.72 ↑ (3.65)	2.09 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne-Sport
30.1%

Draw
25.1%

Beşiktaş
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

25.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lausanne-Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	20%	52%

Lausanne Sport - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 13 - 52%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Beşiktaş (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Letica K. (G) 14. Mouanga K. 71. Sow K. 5. Okoh B. 18. Poaty M. 2. Soppy B. 8. Roche J. 10. Custodio O. (C) 27. Lekoueiry B. 9. Sene M. K. 70. Diakite G.	30. Destanoglu E. (G) 3. Gabriel Paulista 53. Topcu E. 14. Uduokhai F. 39. Jurasek D. 4. Ndidi W. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 7. Rashica M. 27. Rafa Silva 18. Joao Mario 9. Abraham T.
Substitutes
20. Abdallah H. 7. Ajdini A. 77. Al Saad M. 50. Bittarelli L. 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 1. Castella T. (G) 93. Fofana S. 94. Hottiger T. (G) 54. Lippo R. 47. N'Diaye S. 38. Sigua G. 17. Traore S.	11. Arroyo K. 33. Bilgin E. (G) 22. Bulut T. 6. Hadziahmetovic A. 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 24. Sanuc T. T. 79. Terzi E. 5. Tiknaz D. E. 8. Ucan S. 20. Uysal N. 96. Yasar E. (G)
Coaches
Zeidler P.	Solskjaer O. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Rashica M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Zeidler P. 🟨,
63', Soppy B. ↓, Butler-Oyedeji N. ↑,
67', Rashica M. 🟨,
68', Jurasek D. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Okoh B. ⚽, Custodio O. (A),
84', Kokcu O. ↓, Kayra Yilmaz K. ↑,
84', Rashica M. ↓, Bulut T. ↑,
87', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
87', Diakite G. ↓, Sigua G. ↑,
88', Abraham T. 🟨,
90+2', Poaty M. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lausanne-Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Beşiktaş is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne-Sport
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Astana - Lausanne-Sport	0:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.08.25	Lausanne-Sport - Zürich	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Lausanne-Sport - Astana	3:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
03.08.25	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Lausanne-Sport - Vardar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
17.08.25	Beşiktaş - Eyüpspor	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Beşiktaş - St Patricks Athletic	3:2 ✺
07.08.25	St Patricks Athletic - Beşiktaş	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Beşiktaş	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Beşiktaş - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

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