Match Info

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday


	Monza		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.25
	2.25	3.2	3.25
	2.33	3.35	3.43
	2.25	3.23	3.36	Watch
	2.23	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
41.9%

Draw
29.4%

Cagliari
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.4%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

30.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Monza - Cagliari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 15th and 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Monza holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Monza has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.39% Monza: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12
15	Monza	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Monza - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.26%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Cagliari - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 28.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Brest - Monza	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Monza - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.09.26	Monza - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Lecce - Monza	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Parma - Monza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWLT
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Udinese - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Cagliari - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Cagliari - Verona	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.03.25	Cagliari - Monza	3:0
05.01.25	Monza - Cagliari	1:2
16.03.24	Monza - Cagliari	1:0
26.11.23	Cagliari - Monza	1:1

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