Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Football
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 1
Australia	02:30	beIN Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 4
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:30	Sport 2
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	18:30	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:30	COSMOTE Sport 1
Italy	18:30	DAZN 1
Malta	18:30	TSN Malta 3
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV2
Romania	19:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 1
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Turkey	19:30	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
International	16:30	Disney+, Onefootball app, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Cagliari		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.5
	2.18	3.2	3.55	Watch
	2.23	3.34	3.7
	2.15	3.32	3.72	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.5
	2.22	3.42	3.68	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.31)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
44%

Draw
29.2%

Empoli
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.2%	41.9%	12.9%

Cagliari - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). Empoli will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Scuffet S. (G) 28. Zappa G. 26. Mina Y. 6. Luperto S. 19. Zortea N. 14. Deiola A. (C) 18. Marin R. 29. Makoumbou A. 3. Augello T. 91. Piccoli R. 77. Luvumbo Z.	23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 6. Henderson L. 5. Grassi A. (C) 8. Anjorin F. 3. Pezzella G. 99. Esposito Se. 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
8. Adopo M. 37. Azzi P. 1. Ciocci G. (G) 97. Felici M. 70. Gaetano G. 21. Jankto J. 9. Lapadula G. 80. Mutandwa K. 33. Obert A. 24. Palomino J. L. 30. Pavoletti L. 71. Sherri A. (G) 10. Viola N. 23. Wieteska M.	98. Brancolini F. (G) 13. Cacace L. 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 32. Haas N. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 9. Pellegri P. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 17. Solbakken O. 31. Tosto L.
Coaches
Nicola D.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Colombo L. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Colombo L. ⚽, Anjorin F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Makoumbou A. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Esposito Se. ⚽,
58', Anjorin F. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
60', Luvumbo Z. ↓, Viola N. ↑,
60', Augello T. ↓, Azzi P. ↑,
64', Gyasi E. 🟨,
71', Marin R. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
73', Grassi A. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,
73', Colombo L. ↓, Solbakken O. ↑,
75', Piccoli R. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
81', Pavoletti L. 🟨,
90', Esposito Se. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
90', Gyasi E. ↓, De Sciglio M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 1.

Recent matches Cagliari is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Empoli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Cagliari have a series of home games.

Cagliari will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cagliari: Prati M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Fazzini J. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Belardinelli L. (Injury) De Sciglio M. (Injury) Perisan S. (Ankle Injury) Solbakken O. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
15.09.24	Cagliari - Napoli	0:4 ✺
31.08.24	Lecce - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Cagliari - Como	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Cagliari - Roma	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.24	Cagliari - Carrarese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTTW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
14.09.24	Empoli - Juventus	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Bologna - Empoli	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Roma - Empoli	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Empoli - Monza	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.08.24	Empoli - Catanzaro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.03.24	Empoli - Cagliari	0:1
30.12.23	Cagliari - Empoli	0:0
13.02.22	Empoli - Cagliari	1:1
22.09.21	Cagliari - Empoli	0:2
20.01.19	Cagliari - Empoli	2:2
19.08.18	Empoli - Cagliari	2:0
14.05.17	Cagliari - Empoli	3:2

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