Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Le Havre		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.87	2.25	Watch
	3.75	2.7	2.3
	3.5	2.75	2.35	Watch
	3.65	2.65	2.28
	3.76	2.89	2.38
	3.4	2.8	2.35	Watch
	3.64	2.86	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.62)	2.79 ↓ (2.95)	2.32 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Le Havre
25.8%

Draw
33.7%

Ajaccio
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

23.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Havre's form might have worsened.

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+23.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Havre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Le Havre - Ajaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 5 (10.45%), has project points - 58, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 2 (16.13%), has project points - 62, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Le Havre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ajaccio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
03.12.21	Grenoble - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
28.11.21	Chauvigny - Le Havre	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 2
20.11.21	Le Havre - Amiens	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
13.11.21	Vierzon - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
06.11.21	Le Havre - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTWT
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
03.12.21	Ajaccio - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
20.11.21	Dunkerque - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
12.11.21	Ajaccio - Orleans	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
06.11.21	Ajaccio - Dijon	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Pau - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.04.21	Le Havre - Ajaccio	1:1
07.12.20	Ajaccio - Le Havre	1:1
26.07.19	Ajaccio - Le Havre	2:2
15.03.19	Le Havre - Ajaccio	3:1
19.10.18	Ajaccio - Le Havre	3:2
French Ligue 1
20.05.18	Ajaccio - Le Havre	3:2 penalties
French Ligue 2
27.04.18	Le Havre - Ajaccio	2:0

Upcoming Matches