Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, SuperSport Variety 4
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 3
Israel	21:45	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 4
Mexico	13:45	Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Russia	22:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	20:45	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	04:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	22:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Lille		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.65
	1.66	4.34	5.28
	1.60	4.31	5.02	Watch
	1.74	4.12	5.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.61)	4.11 ↓ (4.27)	4.96 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
57.1%

Draw
23.4%

Paris FC
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

21%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Lille - Paris FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Lille (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lille will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 8 - 80%). Paris FC (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 18. Mbemba Ch. 23. Mandi A. 15. Perraud R. 27. Correia F. 6. Bentaleb N. 32. Bouaddi A. 11. Sahraoui O. 29. Igamane H. 9. Giroud O. (C)	35. Trapp K. (G) 14. Traore H. 5. Mbow M. 17. Camara A. 31. Chergui S. 28. De Smet T. 10. Kebbal I. (C) 4. Marchetti V. 33. Lees-Melou P. 13. Cafaro M. 9. Geubbels W.
Substitutes
16. Bodart A. (G) 14. Broholm M. 26. Gomes A. 10. Haraldsson H. 8. Mbappe E. 17. Mukau N. 3. Ngoy N. 28. Raghouber U. 22. Santos T.	12. Dicko N. 8. Doucet L. 7. Gory A. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 11. Krasso J. 20. Lopez J. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 2. Ollila T. 27. Simon M.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Geubbels W. ⚽,
29', Igamane H. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Giroud O. ⚽, Perraud R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', Geubbels W. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
60', Chergui S. ↓, Kolodziejczak T. ↑,
60', Cafaro M. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
61', Igamane H. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
66', Traore H. 🟨,
73', Sahraoui O. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
73', Bentaleb N. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
74', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Giroud O. (Pen),
80', 3 - 1, Mandi A. ⚽,
83', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
84', 3 - 2, Doucet L. ⚽,
86', Giroud O. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
86', Mandi A. ↓, Ngoy N. ↑,
90+4', Doucet L. 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 2, Broholm M. (Pen),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).

Lille has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paris FC is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lille is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Andre B. (Yellow Cards) Caillard M. (Injury) Verdonk C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Injury) Ikone J. (Groin Injury) Otavio (Suspended)

There are questionable in Lille: Toure O. (Knee Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
09.11.25	Strasbourg - Lille	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Lille - Angers	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lille - Metz	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
07.11.25	Paris FC - Rennes	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Monaco - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3 ✺
24.10.25	Paris FC - Nantes	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Lens - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWTLL

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