Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Strasbourg		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.95	6.4	Watch
	1.41	4.83	7.37	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.45	4.93	8	Watch
	1.4	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)	4.74 ↑ (4.48)	7.38 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
67%

Draw
20.1%

Metz
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.7%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strasbourg's performance.

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	13.8%	13.8%

Strasbourg - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Metz will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 24. Hogsberg L. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 3. Chilwell B. 32. Barco V. 29. El Mourabet S. 7. Moreira D. 19. Enciso J. 20. Godo M. 9. Panichelli J.	1. Fischer J. (G) 2. Colin M. 38. Sane S. 15. Yegbe T. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 20. Deminguet J. 5. Gbamin J. 11. Mbaye M. 10. Hein G. (C) 7. Tsitaishvili G. 23. Sane I.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 80. Lemarechal F. 83. Luis R. 11. Nanasi S. 42. Ouattara A. 16. Paez K. 5. Sylla A. 25. Yassine G.	9. Abuashvili G. 99. Asoro J. 40. Ba O. (G) 19. Bokele Mputu M. 4. Mboula U. 25. Melieres C. 32. Munongo B. 21. Stambouli B. 12. Toure A.
Coaches
O'Neil G.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Moreira D. ⚽, Enciso J. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Penalty Awarded),
25', Barco V. 🟨,
25', Hogsberg L. 🟨,
39', Sane S. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Godo M. ⚽, Doue G. (A),
45+2', Tsitaishvili G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Yegbe T. 🟨,
64', Hogsberg L. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
71', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
72', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
80', Enciso J. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
80', Godo M. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
81', Sane I. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
90+1', Gbamin J. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
90+1', Mbaye M. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
90+3', Moreira D. ↓, Paez K. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5.

Strasbourg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Metz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Metz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strasbourg is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Amougou M. (Ankle Injury) Cisse A. (Knee Injury) Emegha E. (Leg Injury) Omobamidele A. (Calf Injury) Oyedele M. (Groin Injury) Sarr M. (International duty) Sow S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Diallo H. (International duty) Kouao K. (Yellow Cards) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Sabaly C. (International duty) Sy P. (Concussion) Toure A. (Knock) Traore B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Doue G. (Inactive)

We predict that Strasbourg will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Strasbourg: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Avranches - Strasbourg	0:6 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Nice - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Strasbourg - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Strasbourg - Breiðablik	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Strasbourg - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWT
- FC Metz
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Metz - Montpellier	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Lorient - Metz	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Biesheim - Metz	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
07.12.25	Auxerre - Metz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.08.25	Metz - Strasbourg	0:1
12.05.24	Strasbourg - Metz	2:1
24.09.23	Metz - Strasbourg	0:1
09.01.22	Metz - Strasbourg	0:2
17.09.21	Strasbourg - Metz	3:0
14.02.21	Metz - Strasbourg	1:2
13.12.20	Strasbourg - Metz	2:2

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