Match Info

Serie A - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cremonese		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	11	4.75	1.22	Watch
	9.25	5.25	1.32
	12.5	5.9	1.24	Watch
	13.23	6.25	1.27
	12.49	6.26	1.26	Watch
	12	5.5	1.22
	14.6	6.3	1.25
	12	6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.13 ↑ (9.34)	5.78 ↑ (5.56)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
7.8%

Draw
16.4%

Inter Milan
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

17.1%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.1%

17%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.3%	7%	90.7%

Cremonese - Inter Milan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Cremonese (2.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cremonese (3.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (38 of 42 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 99.36%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 4 - 25%). Inter (votes: 12 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 23. Ceccherini F. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 55. Folino F. 24. Terracciano F. 7. Zerbin A. 33. Grassi A. 29. Maleh Y. 3. Pezzella G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 16. Frattesi D. 7. Zielinski P. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 94. Esposito F. 10. Martinez L. (C)
Substitutes
15. Bianchetti M. 9. Djuric M. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 11. Johnsen D. 69. Nava L. (G) 16. Silvestri M. (G)	15. Acerbi F. 14. Bonny A. 45. Bovo L. 43. Cocchi M. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 41. Kamate I. 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 9. Thuram M.
Coaches
Nicola D.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Zielinski P. ⚽, Luis Henrique (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Ceccherini F. 🟨,
60', Luis Henrique ↓, Darmian M. ↑,
60', Frattesi D. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
60', Esposito F. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
67', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
67', Ceccherini F. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
73', Baschirotto F. 🟨,
74', Martinez L. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
75', Grassi A. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
82', Sucic P. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
86', Vardy J. 🟨,
90+5', Maleh Y. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Recent form of Cremonese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Inter is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Inter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Cremonese: Barbieri T. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Inter: Barella N. (Muscle Injury) Calhanoglu H. (Calf Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Bondo W. (Muscle Injury) Collocolo M. (Injury) Moumbagna F. (Personal Reasons) Payero M. (Muscle Injury) Sanabria A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 45.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Cremonese - Verona	0:0 ✺
12.01.26	Juventus - Cremonese	5:0 ✺
08.01.26	Cremonese - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Fiorentina - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTL
- Inter Milan
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.01.26	Inter Milan - Pisa	6:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Inter Milan - Arsenal	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Udinese - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Inter Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.10.25	Inter Milan - Cremonese	4:1
28.01.23	Cremonese - Inter Milan	1:2
30.08.22	Inter Milan - Cremonese	3:1

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