The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lech Poznań 49.4%
Draw 27%
Hapoel Beer Sheva 23.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.4%
26.5%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
26.3%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.5%
8.5%
17%
Lech Poznań - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 35 - 74.5%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 8 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 62% – 87%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Lech has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (4%), has a good chance of 2nd (58%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a chance of round of 16 (29%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hapoel Beer Sheva has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a chance of 3rd (41%), has a small chance of round of 16 (13%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality49, very big importance100, big match rating74. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Lech is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hapoel Beer Sheva is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lech will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Lech: Salamon B.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lech won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
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