Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdańsk)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)


	Lechia Gdańsk		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.75
	1.63	3.6	4.8
	1.66	3.75	5
	1.65	4.05	5.08
	1.6	3.7	4.8
	1.64	3.74	4.95	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.87)	3.73 ↑ (3.52)	4.85 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
56%

Draw
24.9%

Górnik Łęczna
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Gdańsk's performance.

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Łęczna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Łęczna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 89. Bobcek T. 27. Bugaj D. 4. Chindris A. 10. Fernandez L. (C) 23. Kalahur M. 8. Kapic R. 30. Khlan M. 7. Mena C. 3. Olsson E. 5. Zhelizko I.	33. Gostomski M. (C) 30. Cisse S. 6. De Amo J. 10. Deja A. 3. Grabowski M. 4. Klemenz L. 8. Kryeziu E. 17. Lukasiak K. 9. Podlinski K. 25. Zbozien D. 16. Zyra P.
Substitutes
6. Bieganski J. 26. Brzek B. 16. D'Arrigo L. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 99. Neugebauer T. 11. Pila D. 79. Sezonienko K. 21. Sypek J. 9. Zjawinski L.	21. Bednarczyk J. . Durmus I. 29. Dziwniel D. 77. Gaska D. 11. Janaszek F. 5. Pawlik M. 19. Starzynski P. 93. Turek K. 12. Wozniak T. (G)
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Mamrot I.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lechia won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Lechia have a series of guest games.

In this match Lechia is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lechia won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lechia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
01.10.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Lechia Gdańsk	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.09.23	Wisła Kraków - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.23	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice	5:1 ✺
16.09.23	Odra Opole - Lechia Gdańsk	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Lechia Gdańsk	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWTL
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
02.10.23	Górnik Łęczna - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	3:4 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Górnik Łęczna - Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
19.03.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Łęczna	2:0
24.09.21	Górnik Łęczna - Lechia Gdańsk	0:4
28.11.16	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Łęczna	3:0
25.07.16	Górnik Łęczna - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2
19.12.15	Górnik Łęczna - Lechia Gdańsk	3:1
21.08.15	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Łęczna	3:1
26.04.15	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Łęczna	2:0

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