Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Leeds United		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.9
	1.86	3.69	4.12	Watch
	1.89	4.1	4.1
	1.84	4.11	4.11
	1.83	3.6	3.8
	1.85	3.9	3.9	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	3.85 ↓ (3.86)	3.98 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
51.5%

Draw
24.7%

Ipswich Town
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Leeds United - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Ipswich will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 22. Gray A. 14. Rodon J. 21. Struijk P. (C) 39. Spence D. 4. Ampadu E. 8. Kamara G. 10. Summerville C. 7. Piroe J. 20. James D. 24. Rutter G.	31. Hladky V. (G) 2. Clarke H. 40. Tuanzebe A. 15. Burgess C. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 25. Luongo M. 7. Burns W. 10. Chaplin C. 33. Broadhead N. 27. Hirst G.
Substitutes
9. Bamford P. 6. Cooper L. 28. Darlow K. (G) 3. Firpo J. 30. Gelhardt J. 29. Gnonto W. 44. Gruev I. 49. Joseph M. 27. Poveda I.	12. Ball D. 11. Harness M. 20. Hutchinson O. 19. Jackson K. 9. Ladapo F. 14. Taylor J. 1. Walton C. (G) 18. Williams B. 6. Woolfenden L.
Coaches
Farke D.	McKenna K.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 3.

Leeds is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ipswich in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Leeds won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
16.12.23	Leeds United - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
12.12.23	Sunderland - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Blackburn Rovers - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	3:2 ✺
29.11.23	Leeds United - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWWW
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
16.12.23	Ipswich Town - Norwich City	2:2 ✺
12.12.23	Watford - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Ipswich Town - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
29.11.23	Ipswich Town - Millwall	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.08.23	Ipswich Town - Leeds United	3:4
05.05.19	Ipswich Town - Leeds United	3:2
24.10.18	Leeds United - Ipswich Town	2:0
13.01.18	Ipswich Town - Leeds United	1:0
23.09.17	Leeds United - Ipswich Town	3:2
18.02.17	Ipswich Town - Leeds United	1:1
24.09.16	Leeds United - Ipswich Town	1:0

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