Match Info

Championship - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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Colombia	Disney+
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Ipswich Town		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.58	4.33	5.25
	1.56	4.15	5.91	Watch
	1.56	4.26	6.11
	1.60	3.91	5.46	Watch
	1.54	4.15	5.63	Watch
	1.58	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)	4.17 ↑ (3.75)	5.61 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
60.6%

Draw
22.6%

Norwich City
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	16%	4%

Ipswich Town - Norwich City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Ipswich (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ipswich Town will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Palmer A. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 12. Cajuste J. 8. Egeli S. W. 23. Szmodics S. 11. Philogene J. 9. Hirst G.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 3. Stacey J. 6. Darling H. 33. Cordoba J. 35. Fisher K. 22. Topic M. 23. McLean K. (C) 7. Mattsson P. 29. Schwartau O. 17. Crnac A. 9. Sargent J.
Substitutes
29. Akpom Ch. 31. Azon I. 47. Clarke J. 24. Greaves J. 20. McAteer K. 32. Nunez M. 14. Taylor J. 28. Walton C. (G) 15. Young A.	8. Gibbs L. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 10. Jurasek M. 47. Mahovo L. 24. Makama J. 11. Marcondes E. 5. Medic J. 27. Schlupp J. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Manning L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Kipre C. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Schwartau O. ⚽,
38', Darling H. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Philogene J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Schwartau O. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,
73', Philogene J. 🟨,
73', McLean K. 🟨,
74', Egeli S. W. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
74', Hirst G. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
75', Fisher K. ↓, Mahovo L. ↑,
75', Cajuste J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
75', Topic M. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽,
82', Mattsson P. 🟨,
86', Szmodics S. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 and 19)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Ipswich is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Hamstring Injury) Diallo P. A. (Injury) Duffy S. (Calf Injury) Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Kvistgaarden M. (Injury) Slimane A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Norwich: Myles E. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
30.09.25	Bristol City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield United	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ipswich Town - Derby County	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Preston North End - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWTL
- Norwich City
English League Championship
01.10.25	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Stoke City - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Norwich City - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Coventry City - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Norwich City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.04.24	Norwich City - Ipswich Town	1:0
16.12.23	Ipswich Town - Norwich City	2:2
10.02.19	Norwich City - Ipswich Town	3:0
02.09.18	Ipswich Town - Norwich City	1:1
18.02.18	Norwich City - Ipswich Town	1:1
22.10.17	Ipswich Town - Norwich City	0:1
26.02.17	Norwich City - Ipswich Town	1:1

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